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Telavi vs Chkherimela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017 Givi Chokheli Stadium, Telavi
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2017 game between Telavi and Chkherimela finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Telavi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Telavi
35%
Draws
45%
Chkherimela
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chkherimela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Telavi come out ahead of Chkherimela on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Liga 3 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Telavi Clean Sheet 20%
Chkherimela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telavi Chkherimela
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.06 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2017 Liga 3
Telavi vs Chkherimela
3:2
Mar 19, 2017 Liga 3
Chkherimela vs Telavi
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telavi 36 / 100
Chkherimela 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telavi Chkherimela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chkherimela Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Telavi found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Chkherimela conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Telavi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Telavi VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Telavi

(Home)
20 Sept
Odishi 1919
1 : 1
Telavi
16 Sept
Telavi
1 : 1
Shturmi
12 Sept
Gori
2 : 2
Telavi
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
29 Aug
Bolnisi
2 : 1
Telavi
Page 1 of 7

Chkherimela

(Away)
22 Nov
Chkherimela
1 : 0
Sulori Vani
14 Nov
Sapovnela Terjola
3 : 2
Chkherimela
07 Nov
Chkherimela
2 : 4
Odishi 1919
25 Oct
Skuri Tsalenjikha
1 : 2
Chkherimela
15 Oct
Margveti 2006
1 : 1
Chkherimela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shevardeni Tbilisi 18 12 1 5 36:19 37
2 Telavi 18 10 5 3 30:18 35
3 Merani Tbilisi 18 10 3 5 39:24 33
4 Mark Stars Tbilisi 18 6 7 5 31:29 25
5 FC Gardabani 18 6 5 7 26:24 23
6 Gori 18 6 5 7 26:24 23
7 Algeti Marneuli 18 6 5 7 25:27 23
8 Borjomi 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
9 Chkherimela 18 4 6 8 18:31 18
10 Liakhvi Tskhinvali 18 2 3 13 17:47 9
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chiatura 18 12 4 2 32:14 40
2 Khoni 18 9 6 3 20:10 33
3 FC Kolkheti Khobi 18 8 5 5 25:18 29
4 Betlemi Keda 18 7 7 4 34:20 28
5 Samegrelo 18 6 9 3 20:14 27
6 Sulori Vani 18 7 3 8 20:19 24
7 Margveti 2006 18 5 6 7 21:28 21
8 Skuri Tsalenjikha 18 4 5 9 16:27 17
9 Odishi 1919 18 3 5 10 13:27 14
10 Sapovnela Terjola 18 1 6 11 7:31 9
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)