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Telavi vs Samegrelo

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017 Givi Chokheli Stadium, Telavi
Telavi Logo

Telavi

5 - 0
FT
Samegrelo Logo

Samegrelo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2017 game between Telavi and Samegrelo finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Telavi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Telavi
30%
Draws
47%
Samegrelo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Samegrelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Telavi have managed 1 goals a game lately — Samegrelo are scoring more at 1.59.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Telavi Clean Sheet 20%
Samegrelo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telavi Samegrelo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 12
Draws 10 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2017 Liga 3
Telavi vs Samegrelo
5:0
Oct 11, 2017 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Telavi
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telavi 32 / 100
Samegrelo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telavi Samegrelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Telavi scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Samegrelo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Telavi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Telavi VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Telavi

(Home)
20 Sept
Odishi 1919
1 : 1
Telavi
16 Sept
Telavi
1 : 1
Shturmi
12 Sept
Gori
2 : 2
Telavi
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
29 Aug
Bolnisi
2 : 1
Telavi
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Samegrelo

(Away)
07 Aug
Samegrelo
0 : 3
Merani Martvili
07 Jul
Samegrelo
4 : 3
Didube
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Samegrelo
2 : 0
FC Kolkheti Khobi
21 Nov
Betlemi Keda
1 : 0
Samegrelo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shevardeni Tbilisi 18 13 4 1 49:10 43
2 Telavi 18 12 3 3 56:15 39
3 Merani Tbilisi 18 12 3 3 45:21 39
4 FC Gardabani 18 9 4 5 40:18 31
5 Mark Stars Tbilisi 18 7 3 8 37:32 24
6 Khoni 18 5 6 7 13:26 21
7 Chiatura 18 5 2 11 15:33 17
8 Betlemi Keda 18 4 4 10 23:44 16
9 FC Kolkheti Khobi 18 3 4 11 9:39 13
10 Samegrelo 18 1 5 12 12:61 8
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2017 (Relegation)