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Telavi vs Samtredia

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Kavkasioni Arena, Telavi
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Tsulaia L.
13'
Cordero Gonzalez J.
13'
Ananidze A.

AI Match Summary

Samtredia in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samtredia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Telavi
20%
Draws
60%
Samtredia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samtredia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Telavi lately — more wins on the board than Samtredia.
  • Model gives Samtredia a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Telavi Clean Sheet 17%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telavi Samtredia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.96 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Telavi vs Samtredia
0:3
May 24, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Telavi
0:3
Apr 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Telavi vs Samtredia
2:0
Dec 2, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Telavi vs Samtredia
5:2
Sep 26, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samtredia vs Telavi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Telavi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Samtredia Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordero Gonzalez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Odikadze T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telavi 10 / 100
Samtredia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telavi Samtredia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samtredia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Telavi found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Samtredia conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Telavi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Telavi VS Samtredia
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Telavi

(Home)
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
29 Aug
Bolnisi
2 : 1
Telavi
22 Aug
Telavi
1 : 0
Merani Martvili
15 Aug
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 1
Telavi
08 Aug
Telavi
0 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
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Samtredia

(Away)
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
02 Sept
Samtredia
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
28 Aug
Samtredia
3 : 0
Odishi 1919
22 Aug
Shturmi
0 : 1
Samtredia
15 Aug
Samtredia
1 : 0
Gori
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 25 13 8 4 33:26 47
2 Telavi 25 11 8 6 27:23 41
3 Shturmi 25 10 9 6 27:22 39
4 Merani Martvili 25 9 7 9 28:28 34
5 Samtredia 25 10 4 11 43:39 34
6 Bolnisi 25 8 9 8 33:30 33
7 Dusheti 25 9 5 11 28:35 32
8 Odishi 1919 25 7 7 11 27:36 28
9 Gori 25 6 8 11 25:32 26
10 Kolkheti 1913 25 5 9 11 32:32 24
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)