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Telavi vs Tskhinvali

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 game between Telavi and Tskhinvali finished 4-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tskhinvali.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Telavi
30%
Draws
12%
Tskhinvali
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Telavi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Telavi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Telavi a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Telavi Clean Sheet 19%
Tskhinvali Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telavi Tskhinvali
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.13 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2019 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Tskhinvali vs Telavi
0:1
Aug 13, 2019 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Telavi vs Tskhinvali
1:0
May 20, 2019 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Tskhinvali vs Telavi
1:0
Mar 15, 2019 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Telavi vs Tskhinvali
1:1
Dec 7, 2018 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Telavi vs Tskhinvali
4:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telavi 85 / 100
Tskhinvali 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telavi Tskhinvali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tskhinvali has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Telavi scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Telavi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Telavi VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Telavi

(Home)
08 Aug
Telavi
0 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
02 Aug
Dinamo Batumi
1 : 0
Telavi
26 Jul
Iberia 1999 2
0 : 1
Telavi
22 Jun
Telavi
1 : 0
Dusheti
17 Jun
Telavi
1 : 0
Odishi 1919
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Tskhinvali

(Away)
29 Nov
Tskhinvali
2 : 5
Gagra
23 Nov
Guria
1 : 1
Tskhinvali
10 Nov
Tskhinvali
0 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
03 Nov
FC Zugdidi
3 : 0
Tskhinvali
28 Oct
Tskhinvali
1 : 1
Samtredia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Batumi 36 23 7 6 60:22 76
2 WIT Georgia 36 18 11 7 43:23 65
3 Gagra 36 16 10 10 50:41 58
4 Merani Tbilisi 36 14 9 13 54:47 51
5 Telavi 36 12 12 12 45:43 48
6 Shevardeni Tbilisi 36 11 10 15 38:49 43
7 Shukura 36 11 8 17 48:56 41
8 Samgurali 36 12 5 19 40:56 41
9 Merani Martvili 36 8 12 16 36:47 36
10 Tskhinvali 36 10 6 20 36:66 36
Promotion - Erovnuli Liga 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Erovnuli Liga 2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Relegation)