Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Telde vs SD Tenisca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Batista C.
80' Event
Zamora J.
90' Event
Gonzalez G.

AI Match Summary

Telde in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Telde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Telde
30%
Draws
47%
SD Tenisca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SD Tenisca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Telde at 0.97 per game, SD Tenisca at 0.93.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Telde Clean Sheet 19%
SD Tenisca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telde SD Tenisca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.97 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Telde vs SD Tenisca
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
SD Tenisca vs Telde
2:1
Apr 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Telde vs SD Tenisca
0:0
Dec 4, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
SD Tenisca vs Telde
6:0
Jan 31, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Telde vs SD Tenisca
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Telde Compare

Top Goalscorer Zamora J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

SD Tenisca Compare

Top Goalscorer Batista C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telde 36 / 100
SD Tenisca 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telde SD Tenisca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Tenisca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Telde scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

SD Tenisca's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Telde VS SD Tenisca
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Telde

(Home)
08 May
Telde
0 : 3
Villa Santa Brigida
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1
Telde
26 Apr
Telde
1 : 3
San Miguel
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1
Telde
19 Apr
Atletico Paso
1 : 1
Telde
Page 1 of 6

SD Tenisca

(Away)
10 May
Tamaraceite
5 : 1
SD Tenisca
03 May
SD Tenisca
4 : 0
Herbania
25 Apr
Las Palmas C
2 : 1
SD Tenisca
19 Apr
SD Tenisca
1 : 1
Panaderia
12 Apr
Telde
2 : 1
SD Tenisca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)