Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 12 2016/2017 game between Telde and UD San Fernando finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD San Fernando.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
30%
54%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UD San Fernando
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- UD San Fernando carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives UD San Fernando a 54% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- UD San Fernando have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Telde Clean Sheet 15%
UD San Fernando Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Telde | UD San Fernando |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 41 |
| Wins | 6 | 23 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 0.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Telde vs UD San Fernando
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Telde
2:0
Feb 17, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Telde vs UD San Fernando
0:2
Sep 30, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Telde
3:2
May 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Telde
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Telde 11 / 100
UD San Fernando 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Telde UD San Fernando
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD San Fernando Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Telde's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
UD San Fernando has conceded goals in 46% of their last 41 outings.
Telde went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Telde VS UD San Fernando
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.83 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Telde
(Home) 08 May
Telde
0 : 3 Villa Santa Brigida
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1 Telde
26 Apr
Telde
1 : 3 San Miguel
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1 Telde
19 Apr
Atletico Paso
1 : 1 Telde
Page 1 of 7
08 May
Telde
0 : 3 Villa Santa Brigida
26 Apr
Telde
1 : 3 San Miguel
12 Apr
Telde
2 : 1 SD Tenisca
27 Mar
Telde
3 : 1 Tamaraceite
15 Mar
Telde
2 : 4 Las Palmas C
Page 1 of 3
UD San Fernando
(Away) 26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
20 Sept
UD San Fernando
5 : 0 UD Playas de Sotavento
12 Sept
CD Laguna
0 : 3 UD San Fernando
08 Sept
UD San Fernando
1 : 3 Orihuela
07 Jun
UD San Fernando
1 : 1 Tamaraceite
Page 1 of 9
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
12 Sept
CD Laguna
0 : 3 UD San Fernando
30 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0 UD San Fernando
16 May
Panaderia
0 : 2 UD San Fernando
10 May
Mensajero
1 : 0 UD San Fernando
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas B | 38 | 28 | 8 | 2 | 92:20 | 92 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 54:38 | 68 |
| 3 | Villa Santa Brigida | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 64:44 | 65 |
| 4 | Ibarra | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 61:41 | 64 |
| 5 | CD Marino | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 51:45 | 56 |
| 6 | Union Sur Yaiza | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 55:44 | 55 |
| 7 | Panaderia | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 52:49 | 54 |
| 8 | Tenerife B | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 57:42 | 53 |
| 9 | SD Tenisca | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 66:70 | 52 |
| 10 | Lanzarote | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 53:60 | 51 |
| 11 | El Cotillo | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 62:64 | 50 |
| 12 | CD Buzanada | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 45:48 | 50 |
| 13 | Las Zocas | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 43:56 | 48 |
| 14 | CD La Cuadra | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 45:50 | 48 |
| 15 | Estrella | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40:42 | 47 |
| 16 | Union Viera | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 57:80 | 45 |
| 17 | Vera CD | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44:60 | 44 |
| 18 | CD Santa Ursula | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54:61 | 41 |
| 19 | Arucas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 41:58 | 40 |
| 20 | Telde | 38 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 22:86 | 21 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)
