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Telfs vs Kematen

Austria Austria

Tirol 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tirol 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Telfs
15%
Draws
49%
Kematen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kematen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Kematen average 1.89 goals a game right now, well clear of Telfs's 1.79.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Telfs taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Telfs Clean Sheet 10%
Kematen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telfs Kematen
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 11 11
Draws 2 10
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.79 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Tirol
Telfs vs Kematen
3:2
May 9, 2026 Tirol
Kematen vs Telfs
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Tirol
Telfs vs Kematen
1:1
Jun 13, 2025 Tirol
Kematen vs Telfs
2:3
Aug 11, 2024 Tirol
Telfs vs Kematen
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telfs 47 / 100
Kematen 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telfs Kematen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Telfs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Telfs found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Kematen conceded in 84% of 37 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Kematen has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Telfs VS Kematen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Telfs

(Home)
16 Aug
Telfs
3 : 2
Kematen
09 Aug
Innsbrucker AC
1 : 0
Telfs
12 Jun
Tirol (Am)
2 : 1
Telfs
07 Jun
Telfs
1 : 2
Innsbrucker AC
03 Jun
SC Kundl
6 : 3
Telfs
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Kematen

(Away)
16 Aug
Telfs
3 : 2
Kematen
07 Aug
Kematen
6 : 2
Absam
01 Aug
SC Munster
1 : 1
Kematen
08 Jul
Kematen
0 : 6
SC Imst
11 Jun
Kematen
2 : 3
Motz/Silz
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