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Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Young M.
Assist: Thorisson N.
53' Event
Thorisson N.
Assist: Mito S.
55'
Soualhia A.

AI Match Summary

Sparta Rotterdam in this Eredivisie matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sparta Rotterdam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Telstar
35%
Draws
32%
Sparta Rotterdam
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Telstar lately — more wins on the board than Sparta Rotterdam.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Telstar taking it.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Telstar Clean Sheet 14%
Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telstar Sparta Rotterdam
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Eredivisie
Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam
1:3
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Sparta Rotterdam vs Telstar
1:0
Apr 22, 2026 Eredivisie
Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam
4:1
Oct 25, 2025 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Telstar
1:0
Jul 13, 2021 Club Friendly
Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Telstar Compare

Top Goalscorer Soualhia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sparta Rotterdam Compare

Top Goalscorer Young M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thorisson N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telstar 39 / 100
Sparta Rotterdam 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telstar Sparta Rotterdam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Telstar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Telstar scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Sparta Rotterdam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Sparta Rotterdam registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Telstar VS Sparta Rotterdam
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Telstar

(Home)
20 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0
Telstar
13 Sept
Heerenveen
0 : 0
Telstar
09 Sept
Twente
1 : 0
Telstar
06 Sept
Telstar
2 : 2
Cambuur
30 Aug
Telstar
0 : 4
Ajax
Page 1 of 6

Sparta Rotterdam

(Away)
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4
Heerenveen
13 Sept
PSV
4 : 1
Sparta Rotterdam
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Zwolle
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1
Sparta Rotterdam
22 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 3
Utrecht
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 7 6 1 0 18:6 19
2 Feyenoord 7 5 2 0 25:7 17
3 PSV 7 5 1 1 24:10 16
4 Twente 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
5 Ajax 7 4 2 1 21:9 14
6 Sittard 7 4 1 2 13:14 13
7 Excelsior 7 3 2 2 15:9 11
8 Groningen 7 3 2 2 15:13 11
9 G.A. Eagles 7 2 4 1 16:14 10
10 Heerenveen 7 2 3 2 11:9 9
11 Nijmegen 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam 7 1 2 4 10:17 5
13 Telstar 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
14 Cambuur 7 1 2 4 10:19 5
15 Utrecht 7 1 2 4 11:24 5
16 Zwolle 7 1 1 5 6:20 4
17 Den Haag 7 0 2 5 7:17 2
18 Willem II 7 0 2 5 6:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)