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Telstar W vs Ajax W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
Sun, Nov 2, 2025
VS
11:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Telstar W host Ajax W in the Eredivisie Women 2025/2026. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Telstar W have averaged 1.38 scored and 2.5 conceded recently, against Ajax W's 2.17 scored and 0.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Ajax W slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 1.49, favoring Ajax W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Telstar W
15%
Draws
57%
Ajax W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ajax W have won more games recently than Telstar W.
  • Model gives Ajax W a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Telstar W Clean Sheet 16%
Ajax W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telstar W Ajax W
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 2 19
Draws 1 4
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.38 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs Telstar W
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Telstar W vs Ajax W
0:0
May 3, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs Telstar W
3:1
Nov 24, 2024 Eredivisie Women
Telstar W vs Ajax W
1:4
Feb 3, 2024 Eredivisie Women
Telstar W vs Ajax W
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telstar W 10 / 100
Ajax W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telstar W Ajax W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Telstar W found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (8 games).

Ajax W let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Telstar W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Telstar W VS Ajax W
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Telstar W

(Home)
23 Aug
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 1
Telstar W
17 May
Telstar W
2 : 0
Heerenveen W
03 May
Ajax W
3 : 1
Telstar W
19 Apr
Sittard W
5 : 0
Telstar W
30 Mar
Telstar W
0 : 1
Utrecht W
Page 1 of 2

Ajax W

(Away)
04 Oct
Feyenoord W
1 : 4
Ajax W
30 Sept
Aktobe W
1 : 0
Ajax W
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1
Den Haag W
23 Sept
Ajax W
8 : 0
Aktobe W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV W 22 17 3 2 56:15 54
2 Ajax W 22 15 5 2 55:18 50
3 Feyenoord W 22 14 5 3 45:17 47
4 Twente W 22 14 4 4 55:19 46
5 Utrecht W 22 11 4 7 41:37 37
6 PEC Zwolle W 22 11 1 10 35:32 34
7 Heerenveen W 22 8 2 12 38:51 26
8 AZ Alkmaar W 22 6 6 10 36:46 24
9 Den Haag W 22 6 4 12 24:45 22
10 Hera United W 22 5 5 12 24:42 20
11 SBV Excelsior W 22 2 2 18 18:51 8
12 NAC Breda W 22 2 1 19 17:71 7
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)