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Tenerife C vs CD Marino

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Pirri
34' Event
Pirri

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between Tenerife C and CD Marino finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Marino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tenerife C
20%
Draws
40%
CD Marino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tenerife C come out ahead of CD Marino on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Tenerife C taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Tenerife C Clean Sheet 68%
CD Marino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tenerife C CD Marino
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 6
Draws 10 15
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tenerife C vs CD Marino
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Tenerife C
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tenerife C Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

CD Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer Pirri
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tenerife C 50 / 100
CD Marino 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tenerife C CD Marino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tenerife C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tenerife C scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

CD Marino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Difficult form: CD Marino registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tenerife C VS CD Marino
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tenerife C

(Home)
25 Sept
Tenerife C
3 : 2
Anaza
19 Sept
Panaderia
3 : 3
Tenerife C
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
Tenerife C
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1
San Bartolome
03 May
UD San Fernando
5 : 0
Tenerife C
Page 1 of 6

CD Marino

(Away)
26 Sept
CD Laguna
2 : 2
CD Marino
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1
Real Union Tenerife
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2
Panaderia
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1
CD Marino
26 Jul
CD Marino
0 : 6
Tenerife
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)