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Tenerife C vs Panaderia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Gemelo A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between Tenerife C and Panaderia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Panaderia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Tenerife C
35%
Draws
52%
Panaderia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Panaderia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Panaderia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Panaderia are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Tenerife C Clean Sheet 16%
Panaderia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tenerife C Panaderia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 14
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.37 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Tenerife C
3:3
Feb 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tenerife C vs Panaderia
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Tenerife C
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tenerife C 19 / 100
Panaderia 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tenerife C Panaderia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panaderia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Tenerife C scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Panaderia conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Tenerife C stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tenerife C VS Panaderia
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tenerife C

(Home)
19 Sept
Panaderia
3 : 3
Tenerife C
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
Tenerife C
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1
San Bartolome
03 May
UD San Fernando
5 : 0
Tenerife C
25 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1
Arucas
Page 1 of 6

Panaderia

(Away)
19 Sept
Panaderia
3 : 3
Tenerife C
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2
Panaderia
24 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 2
Panaderia
16 May
Panaderia
0 : 2
UD San Fernando
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0
Union Sur Yaiza
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)