Sport Picks
Tenerife C vs Union Sur Yaiza
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 
Match Events
37'
37'
Medina J.
90'
90'
Gutierrez R.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between Tenerife C and Union Sur Yaiza finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union Sur Yaiza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Union Sur Yaiza haven't matched Tenerife C's recent run of results.
- Union Sur Yaiza are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Tenerife C Clean Sheet 16%
Union Sur Yaiza Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tenerife C | Union Sur Yaiza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tenerife C vs Union Sur Yaiza
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Tenerife C
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tenerife C Compare
Top Goalscorer Gutierrez R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Union Sur Yaiza Compare
Top Goalscorer Medina J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tenerife C 23 / 100
Union Sur Yaiza 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tenerife C Union Sur Yaiza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Sur Yaiza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tenerife C scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Union Sur Yaiza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Solid form: Tenerife C remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tenerife C VS Union Sur Yaiza
1 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Tenerife C
(Home) 25 Sept
Tenerife C
3 : 2 Anaza
19 Sept
Panaderia
3 : 3 Tenerife C
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0 Tenerife C
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1 San Bartolome
03 May
UD San Fernando
5 : 0 Tenerife C
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Tenerife C
3 : 2 Anaza
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1 San Bartolome
25 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1 Arucas
11 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1 Union Sur Yaiza
28 Mar
Tenerife C
0 : 3 Atletico Paso
Page 1 of 3
Union Sur Yaiza
(Away) 26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2 Union Sur Yaiza
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1 San Bartolome
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1 Telde
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2 Union Sur Yaiza
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
26 Apr
CD Marino
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
11 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1 Union Sur Yaiza
29 Mar
UD San Fernando
3 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
