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Tenerife C vs Union Sur Yaiza

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Medina J.
90' Event
Gutierrez R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between Tenerife C and Union Sur Yaiza finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tenerife C
6%
Draws
90%
Union Sur Yaiza
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Union Sur Yaiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Union Sur Yaiza haven't matched Tenerife C's recent run of results.
  • Union Sur Yaiza are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Tenerife C Clean Sheet 16%
Union Sur Yaiza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tenerife C Union Sur Yaiza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tenerife C vs Union Sur Yaiza
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Tenerife C
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tenerife C Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Union Sur Yaiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tenerife C 10 / 100
Union Sur Yaiza 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tenerife C Union Sur Yaiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tenerife C scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Union Sur Yaiza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Tenerife C remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tenerife C VS Union Sur Yaiza
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tenerife C

(Home)
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1
San Bartolome
03 May
UD San Fernando
5 : 0
Tenerife C
25 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1
Arucas
18 Apr
Villa Santa Brigida
2 : 2
Tenerife C
11 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1
Union Sur Yaiza
Page 1 of 6

Union Sur Yaiza

(Away)
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0
Union Sur Yaiza
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1
Telde
26 Apr
CD Marino
0 : 0
Union Sur Yaiza
22 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
3 : 0
Arucas
19 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
1 : 0
Mensajero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Paso341813351:1967
2UD San Fernando34199649:2366
3Mensajero34189751:3163
4Tamaraceite34196956:3663
5Panaderia341510947:3355
6Las Palmas C341591058:4254
7Tenerife C3414101049:4652
8Villa Santa Brigida341551442:3550
9Lanzarote3412121045:3648
10Real Union Tenerife341291334:3245
11San Miguel341091537:4339
12CD Marino348151144:4039
13Union Sur Yaiza341081633:4338
14San Bartolome348121430:5536
15Arucas347121531:4733
16Herbania347111639:5832
17SD Tenisca34672132:6825
18Telde345101930:7125
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)