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Tenerife C vs Villaverde Norte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tenerife C host Villaverde Norte in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. Tenerife C are expected to control this from the start. Villaverde Norte have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Tenerife C have conceded 1.41 and scored 1.24. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.24 - 1.18) back Tenerife C to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Tenerife C
22%
Draws
19%
Villaverde Norte
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tenerife C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tenerife C come out ahead of Villaverde Norte on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tenerife C's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tenerife C Clean Sheet 20%
Villaverde Norte Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tenerife C Villaverde Norte
Matches Played 29 4
Wins 10 0
Draws 9 1
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.24 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.41 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.24 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tenerife C 40 / 100
Villaverde Norte 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tenerife C Villaverde Norte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tenerife C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villaverde Norte has conceded goals in 100% of their last 4 outings.

Tenerife C found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Away concern: Villaverde Norte has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tenerife C has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tenerife C VS Villaverde Norte
0.88 Goals Scored 0.6
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.6
88% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Tenerife C

(Home)
03 Oct
San Miguel
2 : 0
Tenerife C
25 Sept
Tenerife C
3 : 2
Anaza
19 Sept
Panaderia
3 : 3
Tenerife C
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
Tenerife C
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1
San Bartolome
Page 1 of 6

Villaverde Norte

(Away)
03 Oct
Villaverde Norte
1 : 2
Mensajero
26 Sept
Villa Santa Brigida
2 : 0
Villaverde Norte
19 Sept
Villaverde Norte
1 : 1
Lanzarote
12 Sept
Estrella
3 : 1
Villaverde Norte

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD San Fernando 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
2 Real Union Tenerife 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
3 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
4 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
5 CD Marino 4 2 1 1 12:6 7
6 Las Palmas C 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
7 San Miguel 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
8 Panaderia 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
9 Los Llanos 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Lanzarote 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
11 Villa Santa Brigida 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
12 Tenerife C 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
13 Estrella 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Anaza 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
15 Union Sur Yaiza 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
16 CD Laguna 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
17 Villaverde Norte 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)