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Tennessee vs Swarm FC

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tennessee in this USL League Two 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tennessee.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tennessee
6%
Draws
90%
Swarm FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Swarm FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Swarm FC haven't matched Tennessee's recent run of results.
  • Swarm FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tennessee here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Tennessee Clean Sheet 20%
Swarm FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tennessee Swarm FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2025 USL League Two
Tennessee vs Swarm FC
2:1
Jul 10, 2024 USL League Two
Swarm FC vs Tennessee
1:2
Jun 19, 2024 USL League Two
Tennessee vs Swarm FC
2:1
Jun 14, 2023 USL League Two
Tennessee vs Swarm FC
2:0
May 20, 2023 USL League Two
Swarm FC vs Tennessee
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tennessee 10 / 100
Swarm FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tennessee Swarm FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tennessee scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Swarm FC has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Tennessee has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tennessee VS Swarm FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tennessee

(Home)
12 Jul
Asheville City
0 : 0
Tennessee
10 Jul
Tennessee
3 : 2
Birmingham Legion 2
02 Jul
Tennessee
2 : 4
Asheville City
26 Jun
Birmingham Legion 2
0 : 1
Tennessee
22 Jun
Tennessee
1 : 3
Columbus United
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Swarm FC

(Away)
16 Jul
Fort Lauderdale United
4 : 0
Swarm FC
08 Jul
Swarm FC
5 : 4
East Atlanta FC
28 Jun
Swarm FC
3 : 1
Dothan United
26 Jun
Birmingham Legion 2
2 : 2
Swarm FC
23 Jun
Swarm FC
4 : 0
Montgomery United
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