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Tensung vs Paro

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League 2025
Tensung Logo

Tensung

0 - 1
FT
Paro Logo

Paro

Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Asante E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025 game between Tensung and Paro finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Tensung
15%
Draws
71%
Paro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Tensung haven't matched Paro's recent run of results.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on Paro taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Paro have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Tensung Clean Sheet 10%
Paro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tensung Paro
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 5 26
Draws 4 3
Losses 23 4
Goals Scored 0.88 3.73
Goals Conceded 2.72 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 3.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Premier League
Tensung vs Paro
1:3
Jul 8, 2026 Premier League
Paro vs Tensung
4:0
Aug 22, 2025 Premier League
Tensung vs Paro
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Paro vs Tensung
3:0
Aug 19, 2024 Premier League
Paro vs Tensung
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tensung Compare

Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Paro Compare

Top Goalscorer Asante E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.35
Avg xA / game 2.05

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tensung 10 / 100
Paro 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tensung Paro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Tensung's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Paro conceded in 58% of 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Tensung stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tensung VS Paro
0.38 Goals Scored 4.38
3 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tensung

(Home)
22 Aug
Tensung
1 : 3
Tsirang
16 Aug
Ugyen Academy
2 : 3
Tensung
02 Aug
Transport United
4 : 1
Tensung
29 Jul
Thimphu City
7 : 1
Tensung
23 Jul
Tensung
1 : 3
Paro
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Paro

(Away)
26 Aug
Paro
7 : 0
Tsirang
20 Aug
Paro
1 : 0
RTC
11 Aug
Paro
2 : 0
Abu Muslim
03 Aug
Drukpa
1 : 3
Paro
28 Jul
Paro
2 : 0
Thimphu FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 18 16 1 1 74:17 49
2 Thimphu City 18 14 1 3 64:23 43
3 RTC 18 12 2 4 62:19 38
4 Transport United 18 11 1 6 46:27 34
5 BFF Academy U19 18 8 3 7 40:36 27
6 Ugyen Academy 18 8 1 9 38:41 25
7 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 21:42 16
8 Tensung 18 3 2 13 17:48 11
9 Southern City 18 3 1 14 15:59 10
10 Samtse 18 2 2 14 22:87 8
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)