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Tensung vs Paro

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tensung play Paro in the Premier League 2025. Paro are favorites here. Recently, Tensung averaged 0.77 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. Paro averaged 3.61 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, Tensung won 0, Paro won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 8, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Tensung and 2.06 for Paro. This points to a Paro double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Tensung
15%
Draws
70%
Paro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tensung picked up more points recently compared to Paro.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Tensung Clean Sheet 10%
Paro Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tensung Paro
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 23
Draws 5 4
Losses 20 4
Goals Scored 0.77 3.61
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Premier League
Paro vs Tensung
4:0
Aug 22, 2025 Premier League
Tensung vs Paro
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Paro vs Tensung
3:0
Aug 19, 2024 Premier League
Paro vs Tensung
5:1
Jun 4, 2024 Premier League
Tensung vs Paro
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tensung Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Paro Compare

Top Goalscorer Asante E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tensung 16 / 100
Paro 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tensung Paro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Paro & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tensung attacking → ← attacking Paro

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tensung scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Paro let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Tensung went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Paro lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 73
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Paro18161174:1749
2Thimphu City18141364:2343
3RTC18122462:1938
4Transport United18111646:2734
5BFF Academy U191883740:3627
6Ugyen Academy1881938:4125
7Tsirang18441021:4216
8Tensung18321317:4811
9Southern City18311415:5910
10Samtse18221422:878