Sport Picks
Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Cancun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Gregorio "Tepa" Gómez, Tepatitlán 
AI Match Summary
Tepatitlan de Morelos host Cancun in the Liga de Expansion MX. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Tepatitlan de Morelos have averaged 1.26 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Cancun's 1.53 scored and 1.34 conceded. Past meetings favor Cancun slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 2.31, favoring Cancun. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Cancun lately — more wins on the board than Tepatitlan de Morelos.
- Model gives Cancun a 58% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tepatitlan de Morelos | Cancun |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tepatitlan de Morelos scored in 65% of their last 31 games.
Cancun's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Tepatitlan de Morelos stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Tepatitlan de Morelos
(Home)Cancun
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27:16 | 23 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Morelia | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Atletico La Paz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26:21 | 19 |
| 5 | Piratas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8:29 | 6 |
