Sport Picks
Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Jaiba Brava Prediction & H2H Stats
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Gregorio "Tepa" Gómez, Tepatitlán 
AI Match Summary
Tepatitlan de Morelos host Jaiba Brava in the Liga de Expansion MX. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Tepatitlan de Morelos have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.53 conceded recently, against Jaiba Brava's 1.36 scored and 1.33 conceded. Head-to-head, Tepatitlan de Morelos have won 3 to Jaiba Brava's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 4:3. xG projections (1.19 - 2.31) back Jaiba Brava to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Jaiba Brava have won more games recently than Tepatitlan de Morelos.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Jaiba Brava taking it.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tepatitlan de Morelos | Jaiba Brava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jaiba Brava has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Jaiba Brava has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Tepatitlan de Morelos scored in 59% of their last 32 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Tepatitlan de Morelos
(Home)Jaiba Brava
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Atletico Morelia | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23:11 | 20 |
| 3 | Leones Negros | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Zacatecas Mineros | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21:15 | 17 |
| 5 | Venados FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24:20 | 16 |
| 6 | Piratas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 7 | Correcaminos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 15 |
| 8 | Cancun | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:15 | 14 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 10 | Alacranes de Durango | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18:22 | 11 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 11 |
| 14 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8:18 | 10 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5:28 | 3 |
