Sport Picks
Tepecik vs Denizlispor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Turkey
3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 
Match Events
24'
24'
Eramil E.
69'
69'
Avsar I.
76'
76'
Karakurt R.
AI Match Summary
The 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 game between Tepecik and Denizlispor finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Denizlispor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tepecik have managed 0.77 goals a game lately — Denizlispor are scoring more at 0.8.
- Win probability leans Denizlispor's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Tepecik Clean Sheet 13%
Denizlispor Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tepecik | Denizlispor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 17 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 16, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Tepecik vs Denizlispor
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Denizlispor vs Tepecik
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tepecik Compare
Top Goalscorer Avsar I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Denizlispor Compare
Top Goalscorer Karakurt R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tepecik 14 / 100
Denizlispor 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tepecik Denizlispor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Denizlispor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Denizlispor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Tepecik scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Tepecik remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tepecik VS Denizlispor
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tepecik
(Home) 26 Apr
K. Istklalspor
2 : 0 Tepecik
20 Apr
Tepecik
0 : 1 Agri 1970
13 Apr
Edirnespor Genclik
2 : 2 Tepecik
06 Apr
Erciyes 38
3 : 1 Tepecik
02 Apr
Mardin 1969
5 : 1 Tepecik
Page 1 of 6
20 Apr
Tepecik
0 : 1 Agri 1970
26 Mar
Tepecik
0 : 0 1926 Polatli Belediye
15 Mar
Tepecik
4 : 1 Izmir Coruhlu
01 Mar
Tepecik
0 : 3 Orduspor 1967
16 Feb
Tepecik
1 : 1 Denizlispor
Page 1 of 4
Denizlispor
(Away) 26 Apr
Denizlispor
1 : 1 Nigde
20 Apr
Orduspor 1967
1 : 0 Denizlispor
13 Apr
Denizlispor
1 : 1 Mardin 1969
06 Apr
Denizlispor
0 : 0 Edirnespor Genclik
02 Apr
Denizlispor
1 : 1 Agri 1970
Page 1 of 6
20 Apr
Orduspor 1967
1 : 0 Denizlispor
26 Mar
Turgutlu
1 : 1 Denizlispor
16 Mar
Zonguldak Komurspor
2 : 2 Denizlispor
02 Mar
K. Istklalspor
2 : 2 Denizlispor
16 Feb
Tepecik
1 : 1 Denizlispor
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mardin 1969 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 64:24 | 67 |
| 2 | Sebat Spor Kulubu | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 73:28 | 67 |
| 3 | Agri 1970 | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 42:27 | 58 |
| 4 | Zonguldak Komurspor | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 41:28 | 57 |
| 5 | K. Istklalspor | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 55:26 | 56 |
| 6 | Kirikkale FK | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 44:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Orduspor 1967 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 61:33 | 53 |
| 8 | Gemlikspor | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 38:29 | 41 |
| 9 | Erciyes 38 | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 35:48 | 34 |
| 10 | 1926 Polatli Belediye | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 37:58 | 29 |
| 11 | Izmir Coruhlu | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 41:58 | 28 |
| 12 | Nigde | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 30:53 | 27 |
| 13 | Edirnespor Genclik | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28:62 | 22 |
| 14 | Tepecik | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 24:54 | 21 |
| 15 | Denizlispor | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 27:55 | 21 |
| 16 | Turgutlu | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 34:60 | 19 |
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
