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Stadium Background

Tepecik vs Erciyes 38

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Bozkus F. C.
68' Event
Ekici H.
73' Event
Karadag E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Tepecik
20%
Draws
74%
Erciyes 38
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erciyes 38

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Erciyes 38 lately — more wins on the board than Tepecik.
  • Model gives Erciyes 38 a 74% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Tepecik Clean Sheet 18%
Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tepecik Erciyes 38
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 15
Draws 9 8
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.77 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Erciyes 38 vs Tepecik
3:1
Nov 23, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Tepecik vs Erciyes 38
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tepecik Compare

Top Goalscorer Karadag E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Erdogan B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Erciyes 38 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bozkus F. C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ekici H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tepecik 10 / 100
Erciyes 38 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tepecik Erciyes 38

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erciyes 38 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Erciyes 38 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Tepecik found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Tepecik went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Erciyes 38
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tepecik

(Home)
26 Apr
K. Istklalspor
2 : 0
Tepecik
20 Apr
Tepecik
0 : 1
Agri 1970
13 Apr
Edirnespor Genclik
2 : 2
Tepecik
06 Apr
Erciyes 38
3 : 1
Tepecik
02 Apr
Mardin 1969
5 : 1
Tepecik
Page 1 of 6

Erciyes 38

(Away)
03 Oct
Osmaniyespor
2 : 4
Erciyes 38
27 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Kirikkale FK
19 Sept
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
12 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
06 Sept
Agri 1970
0 : 1
Erciyes 38
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mardin 1969 30 20 7 3 64:24 67
2 Sebat Spor Kulubu 30 21 4 5 73:28 67
3 Agri 1970 30 17 7 6 42:27 58
4 Zonguldak Komurspor 30 17 6 7 41:28 57
5 K. Istklalspor 30 16 8 6 55:26 56
6 Kirikkale FK 30 16 6 8 44:31 54
7 Orduspor 1967 30 16 5 9 61:33 53
8 Gemlikspor 30 10 11 9 38:29 41
9 Erciyes 38 30 9 7 14 35:48 34
10 1926 Polatli Belediye 30 7 8 15 37:58 29
11 Izmir Coruhlu 30 7 7 16 41:58 28
12 Nigde 30 6 9 15 30:53 27
13 Edirnespor Genclik 30 5 7 18 28:62 22
14 Tepecik 30 4 9 17 24:54 21
15 Denizlispor 30 5 12 13 27:55 21
16 Turgutlu 30 4 7 19 34:60 19
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)