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Tepecik vs Izmir Coruhlu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Evirgen E.
41' Event
Ceylan B.
57' Event
Senturk E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Tepecik in this 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tepecik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Tepecik
30%
Draws
62%
Izmir Coruhlu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Izmir Coruhlu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Izmir Coruhlu have won more games recently than Tepecik.
  • 62% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Tepecik Clean Sheet 26%
Izmir Coruhlu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tepecik Izmir Coruhlu
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 7
Draws 9 5
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0.77 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Tepecik vs Izmir Coruhlu
4:1
Nov 3, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Izmir Coruhlu vs Tepecik
1:0
Mar 26, 2023 3. Lig Group 3
Tepecik vs Izmir Coruhlu
2:1
Oct 23, 2022 3. Lig Group 3
Izmir Coruhlu vs Tepecik
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tepecik Compare

Top Goalscorer Evirgen E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ceylan B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Izmir Coruhlu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tepecik 33 / 100
Izmir Coruhlu 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tepecik Izmir Coruhlu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Izmir Coruhlu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Izmir Coruhlu conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Tepecik's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Tepecik remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Izmir Coruhlu
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tepecik

(Home)
26 Apr
K. Istklalspor
2 : 0
Tepecik
20 Apr
Tepecik
0 : 1
Agri 1970
13 Apr
Edirnespor Genclik
2 : 2
Tepecik
06 Apr
Erciyes 38
3 : 1
Tepecik
02 Apr
Mardin 1969
5 : 1
Tepecik
Page 1 of 6

Izmir Coruhlu

(Away)
18 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
9 : 1
Izmir Coruhlu
12 Apr
Izmir Coruhlu
3 : 1
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
05 Apr
Altay
1 : 1
Izmir Coruhlu
28 Mar
Izmir Coruhlu
3 : 0
Nazillispor
24 Mar
Afyonspor
1 : 1
Izmir Coruhlu
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mardin 1969 30 20 7 3 64:24 67
2 Sebat Spor Kulubu 30 21 4 5 73:28 67
3 Agri 1970 30 17 7 6 42:27 58
4 Zonguldak Komurspor 30 17 6 7 41:28 57
5 K. Istklalspor 30 16 8 6 55:26 56
6 Kirikkale FK 30 16 6 8 44:31 54
7 Orduspor 1967 30 16 5 9 61:33 53
8 Gemlikspor 30 10 11 9 38:29 41
9 Erciyes 38 30 9 7 14 35:48 34
10 1926 Polatli Belediye 30 7 8 15 37:58 29
11 Izmir Coruhlu 30 7 7 16 41:58 28
12 Nigde 30 6 9 15 30:53 27
13 Edirnespor Genclik 30 5 7 18 28:62 22
14 Tepecik 30 4 9 17 24:54 21
15 Denizlispor 30 5 12 13 27:55 21
16 Turgutlu 30 4 7 19 34:60 19
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)