Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tepecik vs Kardemir Karabuk

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Evirgen E.
74' Event
Evirgen E.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Arslan M.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2021/2022 game between Tepecik and Kardemir Karabuk finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tepecik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tepecik
6%
Draws
4%
Kardemir Karabuk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tepecik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tepecik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Tepecik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Tepecik Clean Sheet 68%
Kardemir Karabuk Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tepecik Kardemir Karabuk
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 9 1
Draws 9 1
Losses 17 28
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2022 3. Lig Group 3
Kardemir Karabuk vs Tepecik
1:6
Dec 18, 2021 3. Lig Group 3
Tepecik vs Kardemir Karabuk
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tepecik Compare

Top Goalscorer Evirgen E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kiroglu F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Kardemir Karabuk Compare

Top Goalscorer Arslan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tepecik 95 / 100
Kardemir Karabuk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tepecik Kardemir Karabuk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kardemir Karabuk let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Kardemir Karabuk lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Tepecik scored in 51% of their last 35 games.

Scoring Trends

Tepecik VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tepecik

(Home)
26 Apr
K. Istklalspor
2 : 0
Tepecik
20 Apr
Tepecik
0 : 1
Agri 1970
13 Apr
Edirnespor Genclik
2 : 2
Tepecik
06 Apr
Erciyes 38
3 : 1
Tepecik
02 Apr
Mardin 1969
5 : 1
Tepecik
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Kardemir Karabuk

(Away)
07 May
Kardemir Karabuk
1 : 6
Tepecik
01 May
Ceyhanspor
1 : 3
Kardemir Karabuk
24 Apr
Kardemir Karabuk
0 : 2
Gumushanespor
16 Apr
Orduspor 1967
4 : 0
Kardemir Karabuk
10 Apr
Kardemir Karabuk
0 : 6
Edirnespor Genclik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erokspor34237484:2676
2Fethiyespor34206864:3466
3Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu341715242:1866
4Orduspor 196734197866:3364
5Ofspor34179865:4360
6Guzide Gebzespor341415551:2857
7Kirikkale FK34169951:2957
8Karsiyaka341116755:3449
9Edirnespor Genclik341391250:3648
10Tepecik3411111249:4244
11Karakopru3410141046:3944
12Agri 1970341261639:4342
13Gumushanespor349141139:3641
14Cankaya FK341181537:4441
15Mardin 1969349101542:4237
16Modafenspor347111637:5032
17Kardemir Karabuk34113211:1264
18Ceyhanspor34043012:1374
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2021/2022 (Play Offs)