Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Teplice vs Ostrava

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga 2025/2026 AGC Arena Na Stinadlech, Teplice
Teplice Logo

Teplice

2 - 1
FT
Ostrava Logo

Ostrava

Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Marecek L.
33' Event
Marecek L.
Assist: Vecerka D.
36' Event
Auta J.
Assist: Kozak M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Chance Liga 2025/2026 game between Teplice and Ostrava finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Teplice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Teplice
15%
Draws
18%
Ostrava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Teplice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Very High Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Teplice and Ostrava close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Teplice are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Teplice Clean Sheet 68%
Ostrava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teplice Ostrava
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 3
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Chance Liga
Teplice vs Ostrava
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Chance Liga
Teplice vs Ostrava
1:0
Sep 17, 2025 Chance Liga
Ostrava vs Teplice
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Chance Liga
Ostrava vs Teplice
2:0
Sep 21, 2024 Chance Liga
Teplice vs Ostrava
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Teplice Compare

Top Goalscorer Marecek L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Auta J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ostrava Compare

Top Goalscorer Frydrych M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teplice 95 / 100
Ostrava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teplice Ostrava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Teplice went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Teplice scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Ostrava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Teplice VS Ostrava
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Teplice

(Home)
01 Aug
Liberec
0 : 1
Teplice
25 Jul
Teplice
3 : 1
Bohemians 1905
18 Jul
Ruzomberok
0 : 3
Teplice
13 Jul
Wacker Innsbruck
0 : 3
Teplice
08 Jul
Teplice
3 : 0
Taborsko
Page 1 of 6

Ostrava

(Away)
01 Aug
Ostrava
0 : 4
Slavia Prague
25 Jul
Zlin
0 : 1
Ostrava
18 Jul
Trencin
3 : 2
Ostrava
11 Jul
Legnica
2 : 1
Ostrava
11 Jul
Wisla Plock
2 : 2
Ostrava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
11 Teplice 35 10 12 13 40:42 42
12 Zlin 35 11 8 16 43:56 41
13 Mlada Boleslav 35 9 13 13 49:57 40
14 Slovacko 35 7 9 19 30:51 30
15 Ostrava 35 7 8 20 32:49 29
16 Dukla Prague 35 5 11 19 23:51 26
Relegation - Chance Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - ChNL (Main)