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Ter Leede vs ASWH - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Goeman W.

AI Match Summary

Ter Leede in this Derde Divisie 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ter Leede.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Ter Leede
20%
Draws
7%
ASWH
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ter Leede

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • ASWH haven't matched Ter Leede's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ter Leede's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Ter Leede Clean Sheet 19%
ASWH Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ter Leede ASWH
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 5
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.5 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 Derde Divisie
Ter Leede vs ASWH
1:0
Nov 19, 2022 Derde Divisie
ASWH vs Ter Leede
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ter Leede Compare

Top Goalscorer Goeman W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

ASWH Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ter Leede 85 / 100
ASWH 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ter Leede ASWH

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ter Leede Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: ASWH conceded in 94% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Ter Leede scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Ter Leede remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS ASWH
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ter Leede

(Home)
13 Aug
Rijnvogels
2 : 2
Ter Leede
27 Jul
Ter Leede
3 : 1
VV Noordwijk
27 May
VV DOVO
0 : 2
Ter Leede
20 May
Ter Leede
1 : 2
Barendrecht
13 May
Ter Leede
1 : 0
ASWH
Page 1 of 6

ASWH

(Away)
23 May
Groene Ster
3 : 1
ASWH
16 May
ASWH
1 : 6
VV Zwaluwen
09 May
SVV Scheveningen
2 : 2
ASWH
25 Apr
ASWH
2 : 3
Roosendaal
18 Apr
UNA
2 : 0
ASWH
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 34 22 9 3 71:33 75
2 GVVV 34 21 6 7 77:40 69
3 SteDoCo 34 18 4 12 59:42 58
4 Rijnvogels 34 17 5 12 64:55 56
5 Barendrecht 34 18 5 11 71:54 55
6 Sportlust 34 15 8 11 52:50 53
7 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 15 7 12 54:43 52
8 Sparta Nijkerk 34 13 11 10 45:45 50
9 HSV Hoek 34 16 2 16 71:72 50
10 VV DOVO 34 15 3 16 51:56 48
11 Staphorst 34 12 9 13 38:41 45
12 Urk 34 13 3 18 62:76 42
13 Harkemase Boys 34 10 8 16 52:56 38
14 RKAV Volendam 34 9 9 16 52:72 36
15 VVOG 34 10 5 19 49:71 35
16 Excelsior 31 34 8 9 17 47:58 33
17 Ter Leede 34 8 9 17 50:65 33
18 ASWH 34 7 6 21 25:61 27
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 27 3 4 85:37 84
2 VVSB 34 22 5 7 87:52 71
3 USV Hercules 34 18 9 7 64:33 63
4 Blauw Geel 34 15 10 9 53:45 55
5 OJC Rosmalen 34 16 6 12 58:56 54
6 HSC '21 34 14 9 11 64:42 51
7 UNA 34 12 13 9 55:41 49
8 TOGB 34 13 10 11 68:56 49
9 HV & CV Quick 34 13 10 11 59:47 49
10 DEM 34 13 9 12 58:53 48
11 Gemert 34 14 5 15 52:59 47
12 GVV Unitas 34 13 6 15 43:59 45
13 Groene Ster 34 10 13 11 42:44 43
14 FC OSS '20 34 8 12 14 39:59 36
15 Watergraafsmeer 34 8 8 18 35:80 32
16 Baronie 34 8 4 22 44:70 28
17 Dongen 34 6 7 21 45:77 25
18 RKSV UDI 19 34 4 5 25 26:67 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)