Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ter Leede vs Longa '30

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ammerlaan V.
35' Event
Verplancke R.
38' Event
Schreurs T.

AI Match Summary

Ter Leede in this KNVB Beker 2015/2016 tie, finishing 7-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ter Leede
15%
Draws
0%
Longa '30
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ter Leede

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ter Leede have won more games recently than Longa '30.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Ter Leede taking it.
  • Ter Leede have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ter Leede, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ter Leede Clean Sheet 16%
Longa '30 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ter Leede Longa '30
Matches Played 31 4
Wins 10 0
Draws 9 0
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.68 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.68 6.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2015 KNVB Beker
Ter Leede vs Longa '30
7:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ter Leede Compare

Top Goalscorer Ammerlaan V.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Verplancke R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.59

Longa '30 Compare

Top Goalscorer Heinsbroek F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Klein S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ter Leede 84 / 100
Longa '30 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ter Leede Longa '30

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ter Leede Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Longa '30 has conceded goals in 100% of their last 4 outings.

These sides typically produce 10.00 goals when they meet.

Ter Leede scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Ter Leede remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ter Leede VS Longa '30
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Ter Leede

(Home)
13 Aug
Rijnvogels
2 : 2
Ter Leede
27 Jul
Ter Leede
3 : 1
VV Noordwijk
27 May
VV DOVO
0 : 2
Ter Leede
20 May
Ter Leede
1 : 2
Barendrecht
13 May
Ter Leede
1 : 0
ASWH
Page 1 of 7

Longa '30

(Away)
01 Sept
Longa '30
0 : 4
Koninklijke HFC
30 Jun
Longa '30
0 : 6
Motherwell
01 Aug
Nijmegen
8 : 0
Longa '30
26 Aug
Ter Leede
7 : 3
Longa '30

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Feyenoord -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
De Graafschap -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
G.A. Eagles -
TBD -
Excelsior Maassluis 1
HSC '21 2
VV DOVO 4
Dubbeldam 1
TBD -
Willem II -
Heerenveen -
TBD -
TBD -
NAC Breda -
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
Helmond Sport -
Lienden -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
De Treffers 3
Harkemase Boys 1
TBD -
Roda -
Hardenberg -
TBD -
RKSV Halsteren 1
Lisse 2
JVC '31 Cuijk -
TBD -
TEC 0
VV Berkum 1
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
Sparta Nijkerk 2
OJC Rosmalen 3
VV Noordwijk 3
USV Hercules 2
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Kozakken Boys -
TBD -
RKAVV Leidschendam 0
Staphorst 1
TOP Oss -
TBD -
JSV Nieuwegein 1
HBS Craeyenhout 3
Telstar -
TBD -
Blauw Geel 0
SVV Scheveningen 1
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
Utrecht -
TBD -
Vlissingen 2
ONS Sneek 3
Twente -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
Spakenburg -
TBD -
Longa '30 3
Ter Leede 7
Sittard -
TBD -
TBD -
Achilles 29 -
Heracles -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
Eindhoven FC -
TBD -
IJsselmeervogels 0
Koninklijke HFC 1
Genemuiden 4
Zaanlandia 0
TBD -
Den Haag -
Cambuur -
TBD -
TBD -
PSV -
Den Bosch -
TBD -
GVVV 0
Woonwagen Kamp Emmen (WKE) 3
EVV 1
HSV Hoek 0
TBD -
Almere City -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
Barendrecht -
ACV Assen 2
Groene Ster 0
SCM 2
Excelsior 31 10
Capelle 5
Blerick 1
TBD -
Maastricht -
Sportclub Feyenoord 2
UNA 1
TBD -
Dordrecht -
FC Emmen -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC -
Rijnsburgse Boys 3
Hoogland 0
TBD -
VVSB -
1/32-finals
Feyenoord 3
Zwolle 0
De Graafschap 0
Ajax 2
G.A. Eagles 3
HSC '21 2
VV DOVO 0
Willem II 3
Heerenveen 1
NAC Breda 0
Waalwijk 1
Helmond Sport 2
Lienden 1
FC Volendam 0
De Treffers 0
Roda 3
Hardenberg 4
Lisse 0
JVC '31 Cuijk 4
VV Berkum 5
Sparta Rotterdam 4
OJC Rosmalen 3
VV Noordwijk 0
Nijmegen 3
Kozakken Boys 4
Staphorst 2
TOP Oss 1
HBS Craeyenhout 4
Telstar 1
SVV Scheveningen 0
Venlo 1
AZ Alkmaar 6
Utrecht 2
ONS Sneek 0
Twente 1
Groningen 2
Spakenburg 3
Ter Leede 0
Sittard 1
Achilles 29 3
Heracles 4
Vitesse 1
Eindhoven FC 2
Koninklijke HFC 3
Genemuiden 4
Den Haag 3
Cambuur 2
PSV 3
Den Bosch 5
Woonwagen Kamp Emmen (WKE) 2
EVV 0
Almere City 3
Excelsior 2
Barendrecht 0
ACV Assen 1
Excelsior 31 2
Capelle 2
Maastricht 1
Sportclub Feyenoord 0
Dordrecht 2
FC Emmen 3
AFC 2
Rijnsburgse Boys 3
VVSB 4
1/16-finals
Feyenoord 1
Ajax 0
G.A. Eagles 0
Willem II 2
Heerenveen 1
Helmond Sport 0
Lienden 1
Roda 2
Hardenberg 3
VV Berkum 0
Sparta Rotterdam 0
Nijmegen 4
Kozakken Boys 2
HBS Craeyenhout 1
Telstar 0
AZ Alkmaar 1
Utrecht 5
Groningen 3
Spakenburg 1
Achilles 29 2
Heracles 3
Koninklijke HFC 1
Genemuiden 0
PSV 6
Den Bosch 3
Almere City 0
Excelsior 3
Excelsior 31 4
Capelle 1
Dordrecht 0
FC Emmen 1
VVSB 3
1/8-finals
Feyenoord 2
Willem II 1
Heerenveen 1
Roda 3
Hardenberg 2
Nijmegen 0
Kozakken Boys 1
AZ Alkmaar 3
Utrecht 5
Achilles 29 0
Heracles 2
PSV 3
Den Bosch 3
Excelsior 31 1
Capelle 2
VVSB 3
Quarter-finals
Feyenoord 1
Roda 0
Hardenberg 0
AZ Alkmaar 1
Utrecht 3
PSV 1
Den Bosch 2
VVSB 3
Semi-finals
Feyenoord 3
AZ Alkmaar 1
Utrecht 3
VVSB 0
Final
Feyenoord 2
Utrecht 1