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Ter Leede vs VVOG - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
de Graaf J.
79' Event
de Graaf J.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2022/2023 game between Ter Leede and VVOG finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VVOG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Ter Leede
15%
Draws
20%
VVOG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ter Leede

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • VVOG have managed 1.4 goals a game lately — Ter Leede are scoring more at 1.5.
  • Win probability leans Ter Leede's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ter Leede Clean Sheet 16%
VVOG Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ter Leede VVOG
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 3
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2023 Derde Divisie
Ter Leede vs VVOG
0:2
Nov 5, 2022 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs Ter Leede
3:2
Apr 9, 2022 Derde Divisie
Ter Leede vs VVOG
1:2
Oct 16, 2021 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs Ter Leede
1:2
Feb 20, 2021 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs Ter Leede
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ter Leede Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

VVOG Compare

Top Goalscorer de Graaf J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ter Leede 84 / 100
VVOG 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ter Leede VVOG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ter Leede Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VVOG's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ter Leede scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Ter Leede went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ter Leede VS VVOG
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ter Leede

(Home)
13 Aug
Rijnvogels
2 : 2
Ter Leede
27 Jul
Ter Leede
3 : 1
VV Noordwijk
27 May
VV DOVO
0 : 2
Ter Leede
20 May
Ter Leede
1 : 2
Barendrecht
13 May
Ter Leede
1 : 0
ASWH
Page 1 of 6

VVOG

(Away)
02 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 1
VVOG
10 Aug
Eemdijk
2 : 4
VVOG
03 Aug
VVOG
0 : 3
ACV Assen
03 Jun
VVOG
2 : 4
Smitshoek
30 May
Smitshoek
1 : 0
VVOG
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 34 22 9 3 71:33 75
2 GVVV 34 21 6 7 77:40 69
3 SteDoCo 34 18 4 12 59:42 58
4 Rijnvogels 34 17 5 12 64:55 56
5 Barendrecht 34 18 5 11 71:54 55
6 Sportlust 34 15 8 11 52:50 53
7 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 15 7 12 54:43 52
8 Sparta Nijkerk 34 13 11 10 45:45 50
9 HSV Hoek 34 16 2 16 71:72 50
10 VV DOVO 34 15 3 16 51:56 48
11 Staphorst 34 12 9 13 38:41 45
12 Urk 34 13 3 18 62:76 42
13 Harkemase Boys 34 10 8 16 52:56 38
14 RKAV Volendam 34 9 9 16 52:72 36
15 VVOG 34 10 5 19 49:71 35
16 Excelsior 31 34 8 9 17 47:58 33
17 Ter Leede 34 8 9 17 50:65 33
18 ASWH 34 7 6 21 25:61 27
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 27 3 4 85:37 84
2 VVSB 34 22 5 7 87:52 71
3 USV Hercules 34 18 9 7 64:33 63
4 Blauw Geel 34 15 10 9 53:45 55
5 OJC Rosmalen 34 16 6 12 58:56 54
6 HSC '21 34 14 9 11 64:42 51
7 UNA 34 12 13 9 55:41 49
8 TOGB 34 13 10 11 68:56 49
9 HV & CV Quick 34 13 10 11 59:47 49
10 DEM 34 13 9 12 58:53 48
11 Gemert 34 14 5 15 52:59 47
12 GVV Unitas 34 13 6 15 43:59 45
13 Groene Ster 34 10 13 11 42:44 43
14 FC OSS '20 34 8 12 14 39:59 36
15 Watergraafsmeer 34 8 8 18 35:80 32
16 Baronie 34 8 4 22 44:70 28
17 Dongen 34 6 7 21 45:77 25
18 RKSV UDI 19 34 4 5 25 26:67 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)