Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Teramo vs Atletico Ascoli

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Pavone F.
40' Event
Maio F.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Botrini T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Teramo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Teramo
20%
Draws
33%
Atletico Ascoli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Teramo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Ascoli haven't matched Teramo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Teramo a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Teramo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletico Ascoli, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Teramo Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Ascoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teramo Atletico Ascoli
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 8 11
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.93 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Atletico Ascoli
2:1
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Teramo
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Atletico Ascoli
1:2
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Teramo
0:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Atletico Ascoli
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Teramo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavone F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Botrini T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Atletico Ascoli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teramo 40 / 100
Atletico Ascoli 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teramo Atletico Ascoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Teramo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Teramo found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Atletico Ascoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Teramo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Teramo VS Atletico Ascoli
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Teramo

(Home)
27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0
Teramo
20 Sept
Teramo
3 : 2
Giulianova
16 Sept
Angelana
1 : 3
Teramo
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2
Notaresco Calcio
06 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 3
Teramo
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Atletico Ascoli

(Away)
27 Sept
Giulianova
4 : 2
Atletico Ascoli
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
13 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
2 : 1
Maceratese
06 Sept
Angelana
2 : 1
Atletico Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Teramo 2
Atletico Ascoli 1
Ancona 1
Notaresco Calcio 3
Final
Teramo 3
Notaresco Calcio 1