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Teramo vs Notaresco Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Pavone F.
54' Event
Di Sabatino E.
69' Event
Pavone F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Teramo
20%
Draws
32%
Notaresco Calcio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Teramo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Teramo have won more games recently than Notaresco Calcio.
  • Win probability leans Teramo's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Teramo Clean Sheet 19%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teramo Notaresco Calcio
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.16 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Notaresco Calcio
2:2
May 17, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Notaresco Calcio
3:1
Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Notaresco Calcio
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Teramo
0:2
Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Notaresco Calcio
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Teramo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavone F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Notaresco Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Sabatino E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teramo 49 / 100
Notaresco Calcio 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teramo Notaresco Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Teramo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Teramo's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Notaresco Calcio let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Teramo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Teramo VS Notaresco Calcio
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Teramo

(Home)
07 Oct
Unipomezia
3 : 4
Teramo
04 Oct
Teramo
6 : 4
Vigor Senigallia
27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0
Teramo
20 Sept
Teramo
3 : 2
Giulianova
16 Sept
Angelana
1 : 3
Teramo
Page 1 of 7

Notaresco Calcio

(Away)
04 Oct
Montecchio Gallo
0 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
26 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 1
Pietralunga
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0
Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0
Santegidiese
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Teramo 6 4 1 1 17:11 13
3 Vigor Senigallia 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 Foligno 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
5 Ancona 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Fossombrone 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
7 Notaresco Calcio 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
8 Montecchio Gallo 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Santegidiese 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Giulianova 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
11 Lanciano FC 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
12 Termoli 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
13 Maceratese 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Atletico Ascoli 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Recanatese 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
16 Angelana 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
17 Sporting Trestina 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
18 Pietralunga 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)