Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Teramo vs Notaresco Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Carpani G.
23' Event
Pietrantonio M.
60' Event
Arrigoni A.

AI Match Summary

Teramo in this Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Teramo
35%
Draws
20%
Notaresco Calcio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Teramo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Teramo have won more games recently than Notaresco Calcio.
  • Model gives Teramo a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Teramo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Teramo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Teramo Clean Sheet 68%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teramo Notaresco Calcio
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 10 11
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Notaresco Calcio
2:2
May 17, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Notaresco Calcio
3:1
Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Notaresco Calcio
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Teramo
0:2
Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Notaresco Calcio
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Teramo Compare

Top Goalscorer Carpani G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pietrantonio M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Notaresco Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Arrigoni A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teramo 95 / 100
Notaresco Calcio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teramo Notaresco Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Teramo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Teramo scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Teramo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Notaresco Calcio let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Teramo VS Notaresco Calcio
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Teramo

(Home)
20 Sept
Teramo
3 : 2
Giulianova
16 Sept
Angelana
1 : 3
Teramo
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2
Notaresco Calcio
06 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 3
Teramo
04 Aug
Teramo
1 : 1
Scafatese
Page 1 of 6

Notaresco Calcio

(Away)
26 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 1
Pietralunga
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0
Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0
Santegidiese
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2
Notaresco Calcio
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2
Ancona
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Teramo 2
Atletico Ascoli 1
Ancona 1
Notaresco Calcio 3
Final
Teramo 3
Notaresco Calcio 1