Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Njambe M.
6'
6'
Njambe M.
17'
17'
Njambe M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Teramo and Vigor Senigallia finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Teramo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
20%
45%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vigor Senigallia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Teramo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Vigor Senigallia's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Teramo have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Teramo Clean Sheet 13%
Vigor Senigallia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Teramo | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Vigor Senigallia
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Teramo
1:3
Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Teramo
0:2
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Vigor Senigallia
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Teramo Compare
Top Goalscorer Njambe M.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Vigor Senigallia Compare
Top Goalscorer Braconi L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Teramo 27 / 100
Vigor Senigallia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Teramo Vigor Senigallia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vigor Senigallia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Teramo scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Vigor Senigallia let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.75 goals.
Solid form: Teramo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Teramo VS Vigor Senigallia
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Teramo
(Home) 27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0 Teramo
20 Sept
Teramo
3 : 2 Giulianova
16 Sept
Angelana
1 : 3 Teramo
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
06 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 3 Teramo
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Teramo
3 : 2 Giulianova
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
04 Aug
Teramo
1 : 1 Scafatese
17 May
Teramo
3 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
10 May
Teramo
2 : 1 Atletico Ascoli
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Vigor Senigallia
(Away) 27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0 Fossombrone
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Lanciano FC
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0 Giulianova
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5 Vigor Senigallia
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Lanciano FC
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5 Vigor Senigallia
03 May
Unipomezia
3 : 3 Vigor Senigallia
19 Apr
Castelfidardo
1 : 3 Vigor Senigallia
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 51 |
| 6 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | 38 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | 32 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | 31 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)
