Sport Picks
Teramo vs Vigor Senigallia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group F 
Match Events
15'
15'
Njambe M.
36'
36'
Grandis T.
39'
39'
Pietrantonio M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F game between Teramo and Vigor Senigallia finished 6-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Teramo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Teramo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Teramo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Teramo's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Teramo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Teramo Clean Sheet 12%
Vigor Senigallia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Teramo | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Vigor Senigallia
6:4
Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Vigor Senigallia
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Teramo
1:3
Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Teramo
0:2
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Vigor Senigallia
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Teramo Compare
Top Goalscorer Njambe M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Pavone F.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Vigor Senigallia Compare
Top Goalscorer Grandis T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Battista N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Teramo 47 / 100
Vigor Senigallia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Teramo Vigor Senigallia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Teramo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Teramo found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
Vigor Senigallia has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Teramo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Teramo VS Vigor Senigallia
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Teramo
(Home) 07 Oct
Unipomezia
3 : 4 Teramo
04 Oct
Teramo
6 : 4 Vigor Senigallia
27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0 Teramo
20 Sept
Teramo
3 : 2 Giulianova
16 Sept
Angelana
1 : 3 Teramo
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Teramo
6 : 4 Vigor Senigallia
20 Sept
Teramo
3 : 2 Giulianova
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
04 Aug
Teramo
1 : 1 Scafatese
17 May
Teramo
3 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 4
Vigor Senigallia
(Away) 04 Oct
Teramo
6 : 4 Vigor Senigallia
27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0 Fossombrone
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Lanciano FC
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0 Giulianova
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Teramo
6 : 4 Vigor Senigallia
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Lanciano FC
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5 Vigor Senigallia
03 May
Unipomezia
3 : 3 Vigor Senigallia
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aquila Calcio | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:2 | 14 |
| 2 | Teramo | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:11 | 13 |
| 3 | Vigor Senigallia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Foligno | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Ancona | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 6 | Fossombrone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 10 |
| 7 | Notaresco Calcio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 8 | Montecchio Gallo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 9 | Santegidiese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Giulianova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 11 | Lanciano FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Termoli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 13 | Maceratese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 14 | Atletico Ascoli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 16 | Angelana | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 17 | Sporting Trestina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 18 | Pietralunga | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | 2 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)
