Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Terav Sats vs Jogeva

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2016/2017
Wed, Aug 3, 2016
3 - 0
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Estonian Cup 2016/2017. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Terav Sats at 1.67 goals for, 1 against; Jogeva at 2.05 for, 2.82 against. Head-to-head, Terav Sats have won 1 to Jogeva's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 3, 2016, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.65 vs 1.50, favoring Terav Sats. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Terav Sats
15%
Draws
20%
Jogeva
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Terav Sats

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Jogeva have won more games recently than Terav Sats.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Terav Sats taking it.
  • Jogeva arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Terav Sats, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Terav Sats Clean Sheet 16%
Jogeva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Terav Sats Jogeva
Matches Played 3 22
Wins 2 8
Draws 0 1
Losses 1 13
Goals Scored 1.67 2.05
Goals Conceded 1 2.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2016 Estonian Cup
Terav Sats vs Jogeva
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Terav Sats 84 / 100
Jogeva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Terav Sats Jogeva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Terav Sats Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jogeva let in goals in 95% of their last 20 matches.

Terav Sats scored in 67% of their last 3 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Jogeva's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Terav Sats VS Jogeva
1.67 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Terav Sats

(Home)
04 Sept
Terav Sats
0 : 2
Marjamaa
03 Aug
Terav Sats
3 : 0
Jogeva
28 Jun
Pirita
1 : 2
Terav Sats

Jogeva

(Away)
10 Jul
Nomme Utd
:
Jogeva
12 Aug
Jogeva
1 : 2
FC Hell Hunt
27 Jun
Jogeva
2 : 4
Otepaa
25 Sept
Narva
8 : 0
Jogeva
23 Aug
Tallinn Piraaja
3 : 4
Jogeva
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Tulevik 4
Tallinna Kalev III 0
TBD -
Loo JK -
Maardu United -
TBD -
Roosu -
Sillamae Kalev -
Tartu Ulikool -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts -
Castovanni Eagles -
Pedajamae -
TBD -
SK EPMU Tartu -
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
Zenit Tallinn 4
Merkuur Tartu 6
Vastseliina Tannem 2
Koeru 0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 1
Kadakas 2
Levadia Tallinn III 8
Raudteetoolised 0
Fellin 0
Keila JK 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Santos Tartu 0
Tammeka Tartu 2
Tallinna Kalev 14
Paduvere SK Illi 0
IceBears 0
Elva 13
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
Helios 2
SK Taaksi 3
Flora U19 2
Puhkus Mehhikos 0
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Imavere Forss -
TBD -
Lelle 1
Molycorp Silmet 6
FCI Tallinn II 6
Tallinna Depoo 0
TBD -
Viimsi JK 2 -
Jogeva Wolves 7
Reaal 0
TBD -
Saue JK Laagri -
Rakvere 13
FC Sssolutions 0
Tabasalu 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Nomme Utd 24
Oismae Torm 0
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Kalju 8
Tallinn Forza 0
TBD -
Narva -
Kose -
TBD -
Enamasti Pealekata 0
JK Poseidon 7
Torva JK -
TBD -
Castovanni Eagles 2 0
Ambla 4
Tartu JK Welco 6
Igiliikur 0
FCP Parnu 0
Flora 11
Levadia -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu II 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
Raplamaa 4
Rada Kuusalu 0
TBD -
Raasiku Joker -
FC Tartu -
TBD -
Kaitseliit -
Eston Villa -
Tallinn Piraaja 11
Tallinna Wolves 1
TBD -
FCI Tallinn -
Narva United 2
Otepaa 1
FC Ararat -
Jarva-Jaani -
TransferWise 3
Olympic Tallinn 2
TBD -
Viimsi JK -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
Kohtla-Nomme 0
Valga Warrior 0
Twister Tallinn 7
Kalju III -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Marjamaa 4
Navi Vutiselts 0
TBD -
Kivioli Irbis -
Jogeva -
TBD -
Pirita 1
Terav Sats 2
Legion -
TBD -
TBD -
Ganvix Turi -
Soccernet 8
Jogeva Wolves II 1
Vaatsa Vald -
Kuressaare -
1/32-finals
Tulevik 13
Loo JK 0
Maardu United 2
Sillamae Kalev 10
Tartu Ulikool 3
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 0
Castovanni Eagles 0
SK EPMU Tartu 1
Rumori Calcio 4
Merkuur Tartu 3
Vastseliina Tannem 3
Kadakas 5
Levadia Tallinn III 4
Keila JK 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Tammeka Tartu 3
Tallinna Kalev 3
Elva 2
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
SK Taaksi 5
Flora U19 2
Johvi Phoenix 1
Imavere Forss 0
Molycorp Silmet 2
FCI Tallinn II 5
Viimsi JK 2 0
Jogeva Wolves 1
Saue JK Laagri 6
Rakvere 5
Maardu Linnameeskond 1
Nomme Utd 0
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Kalju 2
Narva 0
Kose 0
JK Poseidon 2
Torva JK 5
Ambla 2
Tartu JK Welco 0
Flora 8
Levadia 4
Parnu Linnameeskond 2
Raplamaa 3
Raasiku Joker 4
FC Tartu 5
Eston Villa 4
Tallinn Piraaja 0
FCI Tallinn 9
Narva United 4
Jarva-Jaani 1
TransferWise 1
Viimsi JK 6
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve -
Twister Tallinn -
Kalju III 0
Flora Tallinn U21 5
Marjamaa -
Kivioli Irbis -
Jogeva 0
Terav Sats 3
Legion 1
Ganvix Turi 0
Soccernet 1
Kuressaare 5
1/16-finals
Tulevik 1
Sillamae Kalev 0
Tartu Ulikool 4
SK EPMU Tartu 6
Rumori Calcio 4
Kadakas 3
Levadia Tallinn III 1
Tammeka Tartu 8
Tallinna Kalev 5
SK Taaksi 0
Flora U19 5
Molycorp Silmet 6
FCI Tallinn II 3
Saue JK Laagri 0
Rakvere 2
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Kalju 10
JK Poseidon 0
Torva JK 0
Flora 5
Levadia 7
Raasiku Joker 0
FC Tartu 0
FCI Tallinn 11
Narva United 1
Viimsi JK 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Marjamaa 2
Terav Sats 0
Legion 2
Kuressaare 3
1/8-finals
Tulevik 5
SK EPMU Tartu 0
Rumori Calcio 1
Tammeka Tartu 5
Tallinna Kalev 11
Molycorp Silmet 0
FCI Tallinn II 1
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Kalju 1
Flora 0
Levadia 1
FCI Tallinn 2
Narva United 3
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Marjamaa 0
Kuressaare 5
Quarter-finals
Tulevik 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Tallinna Kalev 0
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Kalju 1
FCI Tallinn 2
Narva United 3
Kuressaare 1
Semi-finals
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
FCI Tallinn 2
Narva United 0
Final
Tammeka Tartu 0
FCI Tallinn 2