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Terbuni Puka vs Burreli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Kastrati E.
62' Event
Koleci E.
80' Event
Hoxhaj A.

AI Match Summary

Burreli in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burreli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Terbuni Puka
20%
Draws
80%
Burreli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burreli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Burreli have won more games recently than Terbuni Puka.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Burreli taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Terbuni Puka Clean Sheet 20%
Burreli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Terbuni Puka Burreli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.8 1
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Burreli
1:2
Sep 10, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Terbuni Puka
1:1
Jan 22, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Terbuni Puka
1:1
Sep 11, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Burreli
0:0
Jul 25, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Terbuni Puka
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Terbuni Puka Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoxhaj A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Burreli Compare

Top Goalscorer Kastrati E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koleci E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Terbuni Puka 10 / 100
Burreli 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Terbuni Puka Burreli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burreli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Burreli conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Terbuni Puka found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Burreli's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Terbuni Puka VS Burreli
1 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Terbuni Puka

(Home)
07 Oct
Korabi Peshkopi
2 : 1
Terbuni Puka
15 Oct
Kukesi
3 : 1
Terbuni Puka
16 Oct
Besa Kavaje
4 : 3
Terbuni Puka
18 Oct
Terbuni Puka
2 : 4
Vora
13 May
Terbuni Puka
0 : 3
KF Oriku
Page 1 of 6

Burreli

(Away)
07 Oct
Burreli
2 : 3
Eagle FA
20 Sept
KF Oriku
0 : 1
Burreli
16 Sept
Burreli
1 : 3
Sopoti Librazhd
11 Sept
Flamurtari
1 : 1
Burreli
06 Sept
Burreli
2 : 2
Kastrioti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skenderbeu Korca 26 13 10 3 37:13 49
2 Dinamo City 26 14 5 7 48:23 47
3 Flamurtari 26 13 7 6 40:16 46
4 Tomori Berat 26 13 4 9 29:27 43
5 Korabi Peshkopi 26 10 9 7 32:24 39
6 Apolonia Fier 26 10 8 8 31:30 38
7 Luzi 26 10 8 8 31:26 38
8 Besa Kavaje 26 10 7 9 32:26 37
9 Lushnja 26 8 8 10 30:42 32
10 Burreli 26 7 10 9 22:29 31
11 KF Oriku 26 9 3 14 27:33 30
12 Turbina Cerrik 26 7 5 14 24:45 26
13 Beselidhja Lezha 26 3 8 15 17:41 14
14 Terbuni Puka 26 6 6 14 16:41 24
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2022/2023 (Relegation)