Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Terbuni Puka vs Butrinti Sarande

Albania Albania

First Division 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Keko A.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2021/2022 game between Terbuni Puka and Butrinti Sarande finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Terbuni Puka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Terbuni Puka
39%
Draws
30%
Butrinti Sarande
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Butrinti Sarande haven't matched Terbuni Puka's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular First Division 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Terbuni Puka Clean Sheet 20%
Butrinti Sarande Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Terbuni Puka Butrinti Sarande
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 0.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Butrinti Sarande
1:0
Nov 21, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Butrinti Sarande vs Terbuni Puka
0:0
Mar 29, 2014 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Butrinti Sarande
3:1
Oct 26, 2013 Kategoria e Parë
Butrinti Sarande vs Terbuni Puka
0:0
Mar 23, 2013 Kategoria e Parë
Butrinti Sarande vs Terbuni Puka
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Terbuni Puka Compare

Top Goalscorer Keko A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Butrinti Sarande Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Terbuni Puka 32 / 100
Butrinti Sarande 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Terbuni Puka Butrinti Sarande

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Butrinti Sarande's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Butrinti Sarande's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Terbuni Puka found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Terbuni Puka VS Butrinti Sarande
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Terbuni Puka

(Home)
15 Oct
Kukesi
3 : 1
Terbuni Puka
16 Oct
Besa Kavaje
4 : 3
Terbuni Puka
18 Oct
Terbuni Puka
2 : 4
Vora
13 May
Terbuni Puka
0 : 3
KF Oriku
06 May
Dinamo Tirana
3 : 0
Terbuni Puka
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Butrinti Sarande

(Away)
28 May
Kukesi
2 : 0
Butrinti Sarande
15 Oct
Lushnja
2 : 1
Butrinti Sarande
16 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 1
Butrinti Sarande
18 Oct
Luzi
3 : 2
Butrinti Sarande
11 Oct
Dinamo Tirana
3 : 0
Butrinti Sarande
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bylis30223551:1869
2Erzeni Shijak30214557:1867
3Korabi Peshkopi30178535:2259
4Apolonia Fier301631144:2551
5Terbuni Puka301211721:1647
6Tomori Berat301281045:3144
7Lushnja301012831:2742
8Burreli301011930:2441
9Besa Kavaje301241436:4040
10Beselidhja Lezha301231545:5439
11Pogradeci301081232:3738
12Turbina Cerrik301141531:4437
13Butrinti Sarande30971432:3634
14Maliqi30651932:6223
15Vora30561932:5421
16Shkumbini Peqin30532230:7618
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2021/2022 (Relegation)