Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Terbuni Puka vs Lushnja

Albania Albania

First Division 2022/2023
Sat, Apr 15, 2023
0 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Terbuni Puka host Lushnja in the First Division 2022/2023. This one's hard to separate. Terbuni Puka have averaged 0.8 scored and 1.83 conceded recently, against Lushnja's 1.09 scored and 1.51 conceded. Past meetings favor Terbuni Puka slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2023, ending 0:3. The numbers (0.97 xG vs 0.86) point toward Lushnja. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Terbuni Puka
15%
Draws
85%
Lushnja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lushnja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Lushnja have won more games recently than Terbuni Puka.
  • Model gives Lushnja a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Terbuni Puka Clean Sheet 20%
Lushnja Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Terbuni Puka Lushnja
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 7 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 23
Goals Scored 0.8 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.51
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Lushnja
0:3
Nov 12, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Terbuni Puka
0:1
Oct 11, 2022 Albanian Cup
Terbuni Puka vs Lushnja
3:2
Sep 28, 2022 Albanian Cup
Lushnja vs Terbuni Puka
2:0
Jan 29, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Lushnja
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Terbuni Puka 16 / 100
Lushnja 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Terbuni Puka Lushnja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lushnja Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lushnja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 43 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Lushnja's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Terbuni Puka scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lushnja
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Terbuni Puka

(Home)
15 Oct
Kukesi
3 : 1
Terbuni Puka
16 Oct
Besa Kavaje
4 : 3
Terbuni Puka
18 Oct
Terbuni Puka
2 : 4
Vora
13 May
Terbuni Puka
0 : 3
KF Oriku
06 May
Dinamo City
3 : 0
Terbuni Puka
Page 1 of 6

Lushnja

(Away)
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4
Kastrioti
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3
Iliria Kruja
11 Apr
Besa Kavaje
0 : 0
Lushnja
04 Apr
Lushnja
2 : 1
Korabi Peshkopi
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skenderbeu Korca 26 13 10 3 37:13 49
2 Dinamo City 26 14 5 7 48:23 47
3 Flamurtari 26 13 7 6 40:16 46
4 Tomori Berat 26 13 4 9 29:27 43
5 Korabi Peshkopi 26 10 9 7 32:24 39
6 Apolonia Fier 26 10 8 8 31:30 38
7 Luzi 26 10 8 8 31:26 38
8 Besa Kavaje 26 10 7 9 32:26 37
9 Lushnja 26 8 8 10 30:42 32
10 Burreli 26 7 10 9 22:29 31
11 KF Oriku 26 9 3 14 27:33 30
12 Turbina Cerrik 26 7 5 14 24:45 26
13 Beselidhja Lezha 26 3 8 15 17:41 14
14 Terbuni Puka 26 6 6 14 16:41 24
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2022/2023 (Relegation)