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Terbuni Puka vs Turbina Cerrik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

First Division 2022/2023
Sat, Apr 1, 2023
0 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Rezi E.
62' Event
Ahanonu N.
90'
Ruqi S.

AI Match Summary

Terbuni Puka host Turbina Cerrik in the First Division 2022/2023. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Terbuni Puka at 0.8 goals for, 1.87 against; Turbina Cerrik at 0.97 for, 1.97 against. Head-to-head, Terbuni Puka have won 1 to Turbina Cerrik's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2023, ending 0:3. xG projections (0.88 - 2.19) back Turbina Cerrik to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Terbuni Puka
15%
Draws
85%
Turbina Cerrik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turbina Cerrik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Turbina Cerrik have won more games recently than Terbuni Puka.
  • Terbuni Puka are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Terbuni Puka Clean Sheet 10%
Turbina Cerrik Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Terbuni Puka Turbina Cerrik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 0.8 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Turbina Cerrik
0:3
Oct 29, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs Terbuni Puka
3:0
Apr 23, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Turbina Cerrik
1:0
Dec 14, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs Terbuni Puka
1:1
Feb 14, 2009 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs Terbuni Puka
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Terbuni Puka Compare

Top Goalscorer Rezi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Turbina Cerrik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahanonu N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Terbuni Puka 40 / 100
Turbina Cerrik 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Terbuni Puka Turbina Cerrik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Turbina Cerrik conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Turbina Cerrik's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Terbuni Puka scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Terbuni Puka VS Turbina Cerrik
0.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Terbuni Puka

(Home)
07 Oct
Korabi Peshkopi
2 : 1
Terbuni Puka
15 Oct
Kukesi
3 : 1
Terbuni Puka
16 Oct
Besa Kavaje
4 : 3
Terbuni Puka
18 Oct
Terbuni Puka
2 : 4
Vora
13 May
Terbuni Puka
0 : 3
KF Oriku
Page 1 of 6

Turbina Cerrik

(Away)
16 Oct
AF Elbasani
4 : 0
Turbina Cerrik
06 Dec
Skenderbeu Korca
4 : 0
Turbina Cerrik
18 Oct
Turbina Cerrik
4 : 0
Koplik
18 May
Turbina Cerrik
1 : 2
Tomori Berat
07 May
Burreli
4 : 1
Turbina Cerrik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skenderbeu Korca 26 13 10 3 37:13 49
2 Dinamo City 26 14 5 7 48:23 47
3 Flamurtari 26 13 7 6 40:16 46
4 Tomori Berat 26 13 4 9 29:27 43
5 Korabi Peshkopi 26 10 9 7 32:24 39
6 Apolonia Fier 26 10 8 8 31:30 38
7 Luzi 26 10 8 8 31:26 38
8 Besa Kavaje 26 10 7 9 32:26 37
9 Lushnja 26 8 8 10 30:42 32
10 Burreli 26 7 10 9 22:29 31
11 KF Oriku 26 9 3 14 27:33 30
12 Turbina Cerrik 26 7 5 14 24:45 26
13 Beselidhja Lezha 26 3 8 15 17:41 14
14 Terbuni Puka 26 6 6 14 16:41 24
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2022/2023 (Relegation)