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Termez Surkhon vs PFK Guliston - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan Cup OKMK Sport Majmuasi, Olmaliq
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Match Events

46'
Sub
Abdullazhonov S. In: Mirusmonov M.
Out: Abdullazhonov S.
46'
Sub
Kuvandikov U. In: Dzebniauri T.
Out: Kuvandikov U.
52' Event
Umirzakov A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Termez Surkhon
25%
Draws
35%
PFK Guliston
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Termez Surkhon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • PFK Guliston haven't matched Termez Surkhon's recent run of results.
  • Termez Surkhon are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Termez Surkhon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor PFK Guliston, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Termez Surkhon Clean Sheet 18%
PFK Guliston Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Termez Surkhon PFK Guliston
Matches Played 28 1
Wins 10 1
Draws 5 0
Losses 13 0
Goals Scored 0.93 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 0
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Uzbekistan Cup
Termez Surkhon vs PFK Guliston
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Termez Surkhon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

PFK Guliston Compare

Top Goalscorer Umirzakov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Termez Surkhon 36 / 100
PFK Guliston 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Termez Surkhon PFK Guliston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Termez Surkhon's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Termez Surkhon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

PFK Guliston's defensive record shows goals conceded in 0% of 1 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Termez Surkhon VS PFK Guliston
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Termez Surkhon

(Home)
20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0
Kokand 1912
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1
Termez Surkhon
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Termez Surkhon
29 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1
PFK Guliston
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0
OKMK
Page 1 of 6

PFK Guliston

(Away)
29 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1
PFK Guliston

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Neftchi Fargona 1
Pakhtakor 0
Bunyodkor 0
Lok. Tashkent 1
Sogdiana 2
Jayxun 0
Andijan 3
Olimpik-Mobiuz 2
OKMK 2
Xorazm Urganch 1
Termez Surkhon 0
PFK Guliston 1
Navbahor Namangan 1
Nasaf Qarshi 0
Gazalkent 2
Kokand 1912 1
Quarter-finals
Neftchi Fargona -
Lok. Tashkent -
Sogdiana -
Andijan -
OKMK -
PFK Guliston -
Navbahor Namangan -
Gazalkent -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -