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Termoli vs Sammaurese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Termoli Logo

Termoli

1 - 0
FT
Sammaurese Logo

Sammaurese

Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Romano G.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Termoli in this Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Termoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Termoli
30%
Draws
31%
Sammaurese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Termoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Termoli lately — more wins on the board than Sammaurese.
  • Termoli are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Termoli Clean Sheet 68%
Sammaurese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Termoli Sammaurese
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 0.59 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.72 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Sammaurese
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Sammaurese vs Termoli
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Termoli 59 / 100
Sammaurese 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Termoli Sammaurese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Termoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sammaurese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Termoli has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Sammaurese registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Termoli's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Termoli VS Sammaurese
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Termoli

(Home)
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0
Termoli
13 Sept
Termoli
1 : 0
Angelana
06 Sept
Aquila Calcio
1 : 0
Termoli
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1
Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Sammaurese

(Away)
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0
Sammaurese
26 Apr
Sammaurese
2 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
19 Apr
Ancona
3 : 0
Sammaurese
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0
Sammaurese
12 Apr
Sammaurese
0 : 0
Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)