Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Termoli vs Unipomezia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Romano G.

AI Match Summary

Termoli in this Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Termoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Termoli
35%
Draws
35%
Unipomezia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Unipomezia lately — more wins on the board than Termoli.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Termoli Clean Sheet 25%
Unipomezia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Termoli Unipomezia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 14 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.67 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Unipomezia
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Unipomezia vs Termoli
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Termoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Romano G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Unipomezia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Termoli 33 / 100
Unipomezia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Termoli Unipomezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unipomezia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Unipomezia conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Termoli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Termoli found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Termoli VS Unipomezia
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Termoli

(Home)
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1
Aquila Calcio
26 Apr
Ostiamare
1 : 0
Termoli
19 Apr
Termoli
1 : 2
Notaresco Calcio
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0
Sammaurese
12 Apr
Teramo
0 : 0
Termoli
Page 1 of 6

Unipomezia

(Away)
03 May
Unipomezia
3 : 3
Vigor Senigallia
26 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 1
Unipomezia
19 Apr
Unipomezia
3 : 0
Maceratese
12 Apr
Calcio Chieti
0 : 0
Unipomezia
02 Apr
Unipomezia
0 : 0
Giulianova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)