Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ternana U19 vs Crotone U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Casile A.
35' Event
Vaccaro C.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2025/2026 game between Ternana U19 and Crotone U19 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ternana U19
30%
Draws
12%
Crotone U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ternana U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Crotone U19 haven't matched Ternana U19's recent run of results.
  • Ternana U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ternana U19 Clean Sheet 17%
Crotone U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ternana U19 Crotone U19
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 11 2
Draws 9 12
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.59 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Primavera 2
Ternana U19 vs Crotone U19
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Primavera 2
Crotone U19 vs Ternana U19
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Primavera 2
Crotone U19 vs Ternana U19
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 Primavera 2
Ternana U19 vs Crotone U19
4:1
Apr 20, 2024 Primavera 2
Ternana U19 vs Crotone U19
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ternana U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vaccaro C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Crotone U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Casile A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ternana U19 84 / 100
Crotone U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ternana U19 Crotone U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ternana U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ternana U19 found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Crotone U19 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Ternana U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ternana U19 VS Crotone U19
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ternana U19

(Home)
09 May
Ternana U19
2 : 2
Pescara U19
02 May
Spezia U19
2 : 1
Ternana U19
25 Apr
Ternana U19
1 : 4
Empoli U19
18 Apr
Cosenza U19
1 : 1
Ternana U19
11 Apr
Ternana U19
2 : 1
Benevento U19
Page 1 of 7

Crotone U19

(Away)
09 May
Crotone U19
2 : 2
Catanzaro U19
02 May
Cosenza U19
2 : 0
Crotone U19
25 Apr
Crotone U19
0 : 4
Bari U19
18 Apr
Palermo U19
7 : 1
Crotone U19
11 Apr
Crotone U19
2 : 3
Pescara U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)