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Ternana vs Benevento

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Sat, Aug 2, 2025
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ternana host Benevento in the Club Friendly 2025. This one's hard to separate. Ternana have averaged 1.32 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Benevento's 1.8 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Ternana have won 2 to Benevento's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.76, favoring Benevento. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ternana
30%
Draws
41%
Benevento
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Benevento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Benevento lately — more wins on the board than Ternana.
  • Model gives Ternana a 29% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Ternana Clean Sheet 68%
Benevento Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ternana Benevento
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.32 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Ternana vs Benevento
0:0
Mar 5, 2023 Serie B
Ternana vs Benevento
2:2
Oct 15, 2022 Serie B
Benevento vs Ternana
2:3
Apr 25, 2022 Serie B
Benevento vs Ternana
1:2
Dec 10, 2021 Serie B
Ternana vs Benevento
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ternana 59 / 100
Benevento 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ternana Benevento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ternana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ternana scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Benevento's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ternana stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ternana VS Benevento
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.63
71% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ternana

(Home)
20 Sept
Ternana
3 : 0
Tau
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1
Ternana
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1
Follonica Gavorrano
06 Sept
Prato
1 : 0
Ternana
03 May
Pianese
1 : 1
Ternana
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Benevento

(Away)
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
11 Sept
Benevento
3 : 1
Verona
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0
Benevento
30 Aug
Benevento
1 : 1
Sudtirol
22 Aug
Benevento
1 : 2
Modena
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