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Ternana vs Campobasso

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Padula C.
22' Event
Majer Z.
33'
Pierno R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Ternana and Campobasso finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Campobasso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ternana
30%
Draws
41%
Campobasso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Campobasso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Campobasso come out ahead of Ternana on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ternana's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ternana Clean Sheet 17%
Campobasso Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ternana Campobasso
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.34 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Campobasso
2:4
Oct 28, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Ternana vs Campobasso
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Ternana
0:1
Feb 16, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Ternana
1:0
Oct 7, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Campobasso
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ternana Compare

Top Goalscorer Majer Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kerrigan L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Campobasso Compare

Top Goalscorer Padula C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lancini E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ternana 41 / 100
Campobasso 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ternana Campobasso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ternana scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Campobasso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Ternana has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ternana VS Campobasso
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ternana

(Home)
03 May
Pianese
1 : 1
Ternana
26 Apr
Ternana
1 : 3
Pianese
18 Apr
Bra
1 : 2
Ternana
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2
Perugia
08 Apr
Juventus U23
2 : 1
Ternana
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Campobasso

(Away)
09 Aug
Juve Stabia
0 : 2
Campobasso
13 May
Potenza
3 : 1
Campobasso
10 May
Campobasso
0 : 3
Potenza
06 May
Campobasso
1 : 1
Pineto
26 Apr
Campobasso
1 : 0
Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)