Sport Picks
Ternana vs Campobasso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni 
Match Events
35'
35'
Pettinari S.
AI Match Summary
Ternana in this Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Campobasso lately — more wins on the board than Ternana.
- Win probability leans Ternana's way, sitting at 50%.
- Campobasso arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Campobasso, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ternana Clean Sheet 68%
Campobasso Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ternana | Campobasso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.21 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Campobasso
2:4
Oct 28, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Ternana vs Campobasso
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Ternana
0:1
Feb 16, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Ternana
1:0
Oct 7, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Campobasso
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ternana Compare
Top Goalscorer Pettinari S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6
Campobasso Compare
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ternana 59 / 100
Campobasso 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ternana Campobasso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ternana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ternana scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Campobasso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Ternana remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ternana VS Campobasso
1.29 Goals Scored 1.5
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ternana
(Home) 04 Oct
Ternana
4 : 1 Montevarchi
27 Sept
Scandicci
0 : 0 Ternana
20 Sept
Ternana
3 : 0 Tau
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1 Ternana
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Ternana
4 : 1 Montevarchi
20 Sept
Ternana
3 : 0 Tau
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
26 Apr
Ternana
1 : 3 Pianese
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2 Perugia
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Campobasso
(Away) 04 Oct
Campobasso
1 : 1 Sassari Torres
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Campobasso
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2 Pineto
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2 Campobasso
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1 Campobasso
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Campobasso
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2 Campobasso
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1 Campobasso
29 Aug
Spezia
1 : 0 Campobasso
09 Aug
Juve Stabia
0 : 2 Campobasso
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2
