Sport Picks
Ternana vs Campobasso
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni 
Match Events
35'
35'
Pettinari S.
AI Match Summary
Ternana in this Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Campobasso
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Campobasso lately — more wins on the board than Ternana.
- Win probability leans Ternana's way, sitting at 40%.
- Campobasso arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Campobasso, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ternana Clean Sheet 68%
Campobasso Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ternana | Campobasso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Campobasso
2:4
Oct 28, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Ternana vs Campobasso
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Ternana
0:1
Feb 16, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Ternana
1:0
Oct 7, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Campobasso
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ternana Compare
Top Goalscorer Pettinari S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Campobasso Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ternana 50 / 100
Campobasso 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ternana Campobasso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ternana scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Campobasso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Ternana remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ternana VS Campobasso
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ternana
(Home) 03 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Ternana
26 Apr
Ternana
1 : 3 Pianese
18 Apr
Bra
1 : 2 Ternana
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2 Perugia
08 Apr
Juventus U23
2 : 1 Ternana
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Ternana
1 : 3 Pianese
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2 Perugia
20 Mar
Ternana
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
08 Mar
Ternana
0 : 1 Gubbio
01 Mar
Ternana
2 : 4 Campobasso
Page 1 of 3
Campobasso
(Away) 13 May
Potenza
3 : 1 Campobasso
10 May
Campobasso
0 : 3 Potenza
06 May
Campobasso
1 : 1 Pineto
26 Apr
Campobasso
1 : 0 Ascoli
18 Apr
Perugia
0 : 1 Campobasso
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13 May
Potenza
3 : 1 Campobasso
18 Apr
Perugia
0 : 1 Campobasso
04 Apr
Pianese
0 : 2 Campobasso
14 Mar
Sambenedettese
0 : 1 Campobasso
01 Mar
Ternana
2 : 4 Campobasso
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2
