Sport Picks
Ternana vs Recanatese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie D Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Coppa Italia Serie D. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Ternana at 1.25 goals for, 1.14 against; Recanatese at 1.29 for, 1.54 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.38) point toward Ternana. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Recanatese haven't matched Ternana's recent run of results.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Ternana taking it.
- Ternana have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ternana | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ternana found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Recanatese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Ternana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Recanatese's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.
