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Terra e Mar vs Quixada

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Dico
43' Event
Gleryston
48' Event
Indio Potiguar

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with Quixada advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Terra e Mar
15%
Draws
28%
Quixada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Terra e Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Quixada come out ahead of Terra e Mar on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Quixada arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Quixada, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Quixada have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Terra e Mar Clean Sheet 18%
Quixada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Terra e Mar Quixada
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 3 16
Draws 0 5
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2024 Cearense 3
Quixada vs Terra e Mar
1:0
Aug 3, 2024 Cearense 3
Terra e Mar vs Quixada
0:5
Jun 29, 2024 Cearense 3
Quixada vs Terra e Mar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Terra e Mar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Quixada Compare

Top Goalscorer Dico
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gleryston
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Terra e Mar 31 / 100
Quixada 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Terra e Mar Quixada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Terra e Mar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Terra e Mar scored in 75% of their last 8 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Quixada lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Quixada has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Quixada
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Terra e Mar

(Home)
11 Aug
Quixada
1 : 0
Terra e Mar
03 Aug
Terra e Mar
0 : 5
Quixada
28 Jul
Terra e Mar
4 : 1
Alianca Futebol Clube
20 Jul
Terra e Mar
2 : 4
Tiangua EC
08 Jul
Itarema
1 : 2
Terra e Mar
Page 1 of 2

Quixada

(Away)
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
04 Feb
Maracana
2 : 3
Quixada
29 Jan
Quixada
0 : 1
Tirol
22 Jan
Quixada
1 : 2
Ferroviario
15 Jan
Fortaleza
4 : 0
Quixada
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Quixada 6
Terra e Mar 0
Esporte Limoeiro 0
Crato 1
Final
Quixada 2
Crato 0