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Terranuova Traiana vs Lucchese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Terranuova Traiana host Lucchese in the Serie D - Group E. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Terranuova Traiana at 1.07 goals for, 1.07 against; Lucchese at 1.72 for, 1.69 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 2.06) point toward Lucchese. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Terranuova Traiana
30%
Draws
47%
Lucchese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lucchese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Terranuova Traiana haven't matched Lucchese's recent run of results.
  • Lucchese are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Terranuova Traiana Clean Sheet 10%
Lucchese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Terranuova Traiana Lucchese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Terranuova Traiana 14 / 100
Lucchese 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Terranuova Traiana Lucchese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucchese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Terranuova Traiana's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lucchese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Terranuova Traiana stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Lucchese's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Terranuova Traiana VS Lucchese
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Terranuova Traiana

(Home)
18 Oct
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 0
Scandicci
11 Oct
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
07 Oct
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 3
Prato
03 Oct
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1
Prato
27 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
3 : 0
Terranuova Traiana
Page 1 of 6

Lucchese

(Away)
18 Oct
Sasso Marconi
2 : 0
Lucchese
11 Oct
Lucchese
2 : 2
Ternana
07 Oct
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 2
Lucchese
04 Oct
Grassina
3 : 6
Lucchese
27 Sept
Lucchese
3 : 2
Siena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prato 8 5 3 0 12:5 18
2 Follonica Gavorrano 8 4 4 0 11:5 16
3 Seravezza Pozzi 8 4 2 2 15:5 14
4 Lucchese 8 4 2 2 18:15 14
5 Siena 8 4 1 3 15:10 13
6 Tau 8 4 1 3 11:14 13
7 Ternana 8 3 3 2 13:8 12
8 Scandicci 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
9 Terranuova Traiana 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
10 Flaminia 8 3 3 2 10:11 12
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 8 3 2 3 9:10 11
12 Montevarchi 8 3 1 4 12:12 10
13 Mezzolara 8 1 6 1 7:9 9
14 Rondinella 8 2 3 3 6:10 9
15 Sasso Marconi 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
16 Grassina 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
17 SCD Progresso 8 1 0 7 4:17 3
18 Ghiviborgo 8 0 2 6 6:16 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)