Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Teruel vs Alcorcon

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Pinilla, Teruel
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Perez I.
6'
Nicholas N.
21'
Ballesteros Y.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Teruel and Alcorcon finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcorcon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Teruel
20%
Draws
51%
Alcorcon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcorcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Very High Confidence
  • Teruel haven't matched Alcorcon's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Alcorcon a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Alcorcon have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Teruel Clean Sheet 16%
Alcorcon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teruel Alcorcon
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Teruel vs Alcorcon
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Alcorcon vs Teruel
2:1
Nov 30, 2021 Copa del Rey
Teruel vs Alcorcon
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Teruel Compare

Top Goalscorer Royo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Alcorcon Compare

Top Goalscorer Aparicio E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carmona M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teruel 15 / 100
Alcorcon 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teruel Alcorcon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcorcon let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Teruel scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Teruel went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Teruel VS Alcorcon
0.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Teruel

(Home)
04 Aug
Teruel
2 : 1
Levante B
30 Jul
Petro Atletico
2 : 0
Teruel
22 May
Marbella
3 : 1
Teruel
16 May
Teruel
0 : 0
Sanluqueno
10 May
Antequera
1 : 0
Teruel
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Alcorcon

(Away)
01 Aug
Alcorcon
2 : 0
Getafe B
23 May
Sevilla B
1 : 1
Alcorcon
16 May
Alcorcon
6 : 2
Marbella
08 May
FC Cartagena SAD
2 : 1
Alcorcon
01 May
Alcorcon
0 : 1
CE Europa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 57:39 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 53:27 68
3 Atl. Madrid B 38 19 10 9 64:44 67
4 Villarreal B 38 16 15 7 54:32 63
5 CE Europa 38 16 12 10 55:50 60
6 FC Cartagena SAD 38 15 12 11 37:38 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 47:44 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 40:41 55
9 Hercules 38 14 12 12 43:41 54
10 Murcia 38 14 10 14 43:40 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 44:38 51
12 UD Ibiza 38 13 11 14 44:38 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 27:33 49
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 38 13 8 17 40:49 47
15 Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 45:51 46
16 Betis B 38 12 9 17 48:59 45
17 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 31:40 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 36:55 34
19 Sanluqueno 38 7 10 21 27:53 31
20 Sevilla B 38 5 13 20 21:44 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)