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Teruel vs Alcorcon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Pinilla, Teruel
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Teruel host Alcorcon in the Primera RFEF - Group 2. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Teruel have averaged 0.57 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Alcorcon's 1.53 scored and 0.93 conceded. Head-to-head, Teruel have won 0 to Alcorcon's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 1.44) point toward Alcorcon. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Teruel
30%
Draws
64%
Alcorcon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcorcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alcorcon lately — more wins on the board than Teruel.
  • Model gives Alcorcon a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Alcorcon have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Teruel Clean Sheet 16%
Alcorcon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teruel Alcorcon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 11 12
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.57 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Teruel vs Alcorcon
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Alcorcon vs Teruel
2:1
Nov 30, 2021 Copa del Rey
Teruel vs Alcorcon
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teruel 10 / 100
Alcorcon 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teruel Alcorcon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcorcon let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Teruel scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Teruel stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Teruel VS Alcorcon
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Teruel

(Home)
04 Oct
Zaragoza
4 : 1
Teruel
27 Sept
Teruel
1 : 1
Huesca
19 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0
Teruel
12 Sept
Teruel
0 : 1
Jaen
06 Sept
Murcia
4 : 0
Teruel
Page 1 of 6

Alcorcon

(Away)
03 Oct
Alcorcon
5 : 0
Torremolinos
27 Sept
Real Madrid B
1 : 2
Alcorcon
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
12 Sept
Antequera
1 : 1
Alcorcon
06 Sept
Alcorcon
0 : 0
CE Europa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
3 Alcorcon 6 3 3 0 13:4 12
4 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
5 FC Cartagena SAD 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
6 Jaen 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
7 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
8 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
9 UD Ibiza 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Huesca 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
11 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
12 Real Madrid B 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
17 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
18 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Teruel 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
20 Torremolinos 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)