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Tervakosken Pato vs TPV

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tervakosken Pato play TPV in the Suomen Cup 2017/2018. TPV are favorites here. Recently, Tervakosken Pato averaged 0.67 goals scored and 5 conceded. TPV averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Tervakosken Pato won 0, TPV won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 27, 2017 ended 0:8. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Tervakosken Pato and 1.36 for TPV. This points to a TPV double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Tervakosken Pato
16%
Draws
70%
TPV
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: TPV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tervakosken Pato picked up more points recently compared to TPV.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Tervakosken Pato Clean Sheet 18%
TPV Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tervakosken Pato TPV
Matches Played 3 30
Wins 0 12
Draws 0 6
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 0.67 2.1
Goals Conceded 5 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2017 Suomen Cup
Tervakosken Pato vs TPV
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tervakosken Pato Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

TPV Compare

Top Goalscorer Naykki P.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Riihimaki W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tervakosken Pato 16 / 100
TPV 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tervakosken Pato TPV

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPV Win (2)
Secondary Pick TPV & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tervakosken Pato attacking → ← attacking TPV

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tervakosken Pato scored in 67% of their last 3 games.

TPV let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Tervakosken Pato went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

TPV lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 42
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63