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Tervis Parnu vs Lelle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2005
Tervis Parnu Logo

Tervis Parnu

1 - 3
FT
Lelle Logo

Lelle

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2005 game between Tervis Parnu and Lelle finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lelle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Tervis Parnu
15%
Draws
28%
Lelle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tervis Parnu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Tervis Parnu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tervis Parnu's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga 2005 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Tervis Parnu have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tervis Parnu Clean Sheet 10%
Lelle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tervis Parnu Lelle
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 0
Losses 11 23
Goals Scored 2.23 1
Goals Conceded 1.57 4.31
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 2.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2005 Esiliiga
Tervis Parnu vs Lelle
1:3
Jul 16, 2005 Esiliiga
Lelle vs Tervis Parnu
0:3
Jul 9, 2005 Esiliiga
Tervis Parnu vs Lelle
3:0
Mar 5, 2005 Esiliiga
Lelle vs Tervis Parnu
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tervis Parnu 83 / 100
Lelle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tervis Parnu Lelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tervis Parnu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lelle let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Tervis Parnu's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lelle lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tervis Parnu VS Lelle
3.67 Goals Scored 1
3.67 Goals Conceded 4.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tervis Parnu

(Home)
22 Aug
Elva
5 : 2
Tervis Parnu
26 Jul
Tervis Parnu
8 : 3
FCP Parnu
05 Nov
Tervis Parnu
1 : 3
Lelle
29 Oct
Levadia U21
1 : 0
Tervis Parnu
25 Oct
Tervis Parnu
5 : 0
TVMK Tallinn II
Page 1 of 6

Lelle

(Away)
20 Jul
Tulevik
26 : 0
Lelle
02 Sept
Pohja-Sakala
6 : 1
Lelle
07 Aug
Lelle
0 : 1
Tabasalu
20 Jun
Lelle
2 : 1
TransferWise
18 Jul
Tabasalu
6 : 0
Lelle
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parnu Linnameeskond 36 26 6 4 92:39 84
2 Levadia U21 36 26 4 6 104:31 82
3 Lasnamae 36 23 8 5 111:30 77
4 Tallinna Kalev 36 18 9 9 85:71 63
5 Tervis Parnu 36 14 9 13 73:53 51
6 TVMK Tallinn II 36 12 5 19 51:80 41
7 Elva 36 10 6 20 42:71 36
8 Lelle 36 11 1 24 49:100 34
9 JK Jalgpallihaigla 36 9 4 23 38:100 31
10 Merkuur-Juunior 36 2 6 28 27:97 12
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2006 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2005 (Relegation)