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Tesla vs Paraense SC

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Paraense A3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paraense A3 game between Tesla and Paraense SC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paraense SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Tesla
30%
Draws
31%
Paraense SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tesla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Tesla's 1.53 goals per match outpaces what Paraense SC have produced (1.2).
  • Paraense SC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paraense A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tesla Clean Sheet 10%
Paraense SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tesla Paraense SC
Matches Played 15 10
Wins 4 4
Draws 3 1
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.53 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Paraense A3
Paraense SC vs Tesla
1:3
Sep 13, 2026 Paraense A3
Tesla vs Paraense SC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tesla 10 / 100
Paraense SC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tesla Paraense SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paraense SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tesla's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Paraense SC let in goals in 60% of their last 10 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tesla remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tesla VS Paraense SC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tesla

(Home)
23 Sept
Paraense SC
1 : 3
Tesla
20 Sept
Tesla
2 : 2
Pinheirense
13 Sept
Tesla
0 : 1
Paraense SC
11 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 1
Tesla
08 Nov
Atletico Paraense
7 : 0
Tesla
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Paraense SC

(Away)
23 Sept
Paraense SC
1 : 3
Tesla
16 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 0
Paraense SC
13 Sept
Tesla
0 : 1
Paraense SC
05 Sept
Paraense SC
0 : 0
Pinheirense
06 Nov
Santos PA
3 : 0
Paraense SC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pedreira 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
2 Venus 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 ESMAC 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pinheirense 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
2 Tesla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
3 Paraense SC 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Belem 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Belenense 4 2 1 1 14:9 7
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 2:14 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaviao 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
2 Parauapebas 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
3 Altamira 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)